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Intrinsic Value of Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV)

Previous Close$46.93
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$46.93

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Carriage Services, Inc. operates in the deathcare industry, providing funeral and cemetery services across the United States. The company generates revenue through a mix of pre-need and at-need funeral arrangements, cemetery property sales, and perpetual care trusts. Its business model capitalizes on the steady demand for end-of-life services, which are relatively insulated from economic cycles due to their essential nature. Carriage Services differentiates itself through a decentralized operating structure, allowing local managers to tailor services to regional preferences while benefiting from corporate-scale efficiencies. The company competes in a fragmented market dominated by small independent operators and a few large players, positioning itself as a consolidator with a focus on premium service offerings. Its acquisition strategy targets high-margin businesses in growing metropolitan areas, reinforcing its market share in key regions. The deathcare sector faces long-term tailwinds from demographic trends, including an aging population, which supports Carriage Services' growth prospects.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Carriage Services reported revenue of $404.2 million, with net income of $33.0 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 8.2%. The company's diluted EPS stood at $2.10, demonstrating stable earnings power. Operating cash flow was $52.0 million, while capital expenditures totaled $16.1 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in the business. These metrics suggest efficient operations with consistent profitability in a capital-intensive industry.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Carriage Services exhibits moderate capital efficiency, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations and supporting growth initiatives. The company's earnings are supported by recurring revenue streams from pre-need contracts and cemetery maintenance trusts. Its ability to generate positive free cash flow ($35.9 million in FY 2024) provides flexibility for debt reduction, dividends, and strategic acquisitions in a competitive consolidation environment.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a leveraged balance sheet with $560.9 million in total debt against $1.2 million in cash and equivalents. This debt load reflects its acquisition-driven growth strategy but warrants monitoring given the industry's steady but slow-growth nature. The manageable debt service coverage ratio, supported by stable cash flows, suggests adequate financial health, though further deleveraging could improve resilience.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Carriage Services has pursued a dual strategy of organic growth and acquisitions, with the latter driving most expansion. The company pays a modest dividend ($0.45 per share annually), reflecting a balanced approach to capital allocation. Future growth will likely depend on successful integration of acquired properties and demographic-driven increases in service demand, particularly in its target metropolitan markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $2.10 EPS, the market appears to price Carriage Services as a steady performer with moderate growth prospects. Valuation reflects both the defensive nature of the deathcare industry and the execution risks associated with its consolidation strategy. Investors likely expect continued margin stability and disciplined capital allocation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Carriage Services' decentralized model and focus on premium service offerings provide competitive advantages in local markets. The company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term demographic trends, though its growth trajectory depends on successful acquisition integration and maintaining service quality. Management's ability to balance debt reduction with strategic investments will be critical to sustaining shareholder value in the coming years.

Sources

Company 10-K filing, investor relations materials

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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