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Intrinsic Value of Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC.TO)

Previous Close$258.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$258.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Canadian Tire Corporation operates as a diversified retail and financial services company in Canada, structured across three key segments: Retail, CT REIT, and Financial Services. The Retail segment dominates its revenue streams, offering a broad assortment of automotive, home, outdoor, and sporting goods under well-known brands like Canadian Tire, SportChek, and Mark's. Its integrated loyalty programs and e-commerce capabilities enhance customer retention and omnichannel engagement. The CT REIT segment provides stable income through a portfolio of retail and industrial properties, while Financial Services bolsters profitability with credit cards, insurance, and deposit products. The company holds a strong market position as a trusted household name, leveraging its extensive store network and brand equity to compete against mass merchants and specialty retailers. Its multi-format strategy allows it to cater to diverse consumer needs, from DIY enthusiasts to outdoor adventurers, reinforcing its resilience in the competitive Canadian retail landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Canadian Tire reported revenue of CAD 16.36 billion for the period, with net income of CAD 887.7 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.4%. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 2.06 billion, supported by robust retail performance and financial services contributions. Capital expenditures of CAD 576.3 million indicate ongoing investments in store upgrades and digital infrastructure, aligning with its omnichannel strategy.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of CAD 15.92 underscores its earnings strength, driven by efficient operations across retail and financial services. Its ability to generate consistent cash flow supports reinvestment and shareholder returns, with a disciplined approach to capital allocation evident in its REIT structure and loyalty program monetization.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Canadian Tire maintains a solid liquidity position with CAD 447.5 million in cash and equivalents, though total debt of CAD 7.91 billion warrants monitoring. The REIT segment's stable rental income and diversified property base provide a counterbalance to retail cyclicality, while financial services contribute recurring revenue.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated resilience in a challenging retail environment, with growth driven by e-commerce expansion and private-label offerings. Its dividend of CAD 7.05 per share reflects a commitment to returning capital, supported by a payout ratio that aligns with earnings stability.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CAD 9.51 billion and a beta of 0.99, Canadian Tire trades in line with broader market volatility. Investors likely price in its defensive qualities, including brand loyalty and diversified income streams, though competitive pressures and consumer spending trends remain key watchpoints.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Canadian Tire's integrated retail-financial model and strong brand portfolio position it well for sustained performance. Strategic priorities include digital transformation, supply chain optimization, and leveraging its REIT for capital flexibility. Macroeconomic headwinds may temper near-term growth, but its entrenched market presence and adaptability provide long-term stability.

Sources

Company filings, TSX disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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