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Intrinsic Value of Caribbean Utilities Company, Ltd. (CUP-U.TO)

Previous Close$12.82
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.82

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Caribbean Utilities Company, Ltd. operates as the sole electricity provider in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands, serving a captive market with a regulated monopoly. The company generates power primarily through diesel-fired plants, with an installed capacity of 161 megawatts, and maintains an extensive transmission and distribution network, including overhead, underground, and submarine cables. Its revenue model is anchored in long-term regulatory agreements that ensure stable cash flows through approved tariffs, shielding it from competitive pressures. Additionally, the company offers telecommunication services, diversifying its utility-based income streams. As a subsidiary of Fortis Energy (Bermuda) Ltd., it benefits from the operational and financial backing of a larger utility conglomerate. The company’s market position is reinforced by its critical infrastructure role, regulatory protections, and the absence of alternative providers, making it a low-risk, steady performer in the utilities sector. Its geographic isolation and reliance on diesel generation present unique operational challenges, but these are mitigated by predictable demand and cost-recovery mechanisms.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In its most recent fiscal year, Caribbean Utilities reported revenue of $293.7 million USD and net income of $42.7 million USD, reflecting a net margin of approximately 14.5%. The company’s operating cash flow of $91.5 million USD underscores its ability to convert revenue into cash efficiently, though capital expenditures of $100.3 million USD highlight ongoing infrastructure investments. Diluted EPS stood at $1.08, indicating modest but stable profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its regulated monopoly, which ensures consistent revenue streams. With a beta of 0.27, it exhibits low volatility, typical of utility stocks. Capital efficiency is tempered by high capex requirements for maintaining and expanding its grid, but regulatory frameworks allow for cost recovery, preserving returns on invested capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Caribbean Utilities maintains a conservative balance sheet with $20.2 million USD in cash and equivalents against total debt of $401.5 million USD. The debt level is manageable given the company’s stable cash flows and regulated environment. Its financial health is further supported by its parent company, Fortis Energy, providing additional stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is constrained by the limited size of its service territory, but the company benefits from population and tourism-driven demand increases. It pays a dividend of $0.5543 per share, appealing to income-focused investors. Future growth may hinge on renewable energy initiatives, though diesel remains the primary fuel source.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of $561.6 million USD, the company trades at a P/E ratio reflective of its steady, low-growth profile. Investors likely value its defensive characteristics and reliable dividends, aligning with expectations for regulated utilities.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Caribbean Utilities’ strategic advantages include its monopoly position, regulatory protections, and parent company support. The outlook remains stable, though long-term challenges include fuel cost volatility and potential regulatory shifts. Diversification into renewables could enhance sustainability and investor appeal over time.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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