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Intrinsic Value of Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)

Previous Close$449.84
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$449.84

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Cavco Industries, Inc. operates as a leading designer and manufacturer of factory-built housing solutions, including manufactured homes, modular homes, and park model RVs. The company serves a diverse customer base, ranging from entry-level buyers to retirees, through a vertically integrated model that encompasses design, production, and distribution. Cavco’s market position is strengthened by its portfolio of well-recognized brands, such as Fleetwood Homes and Palm Harbor Homes, which cater to regional preferences and affordability demands. The company operates in a highly fragmented industry, competing against smaller regional players while leveraging economies of scale to maintain cost efficiency. Its focus on quality, customization, and energy-efficient designs differentiates it in a market driven by price sensitivity and regulatory standards. Cavco also benefits from strategic acquisitions, expanding its geographic footprint and product offerings to capture incremental demand in underserved markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Cavco reported revenue of $1.79 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $157.8 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 8.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $18.37, demonstrating strong profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $224.7 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of $17.4 million indicate disciplined reinvestment, aligning with the company’s growth strategy.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate consistent operating cash flow, which exceeds net income, highlighting high-quality earnings. Cavco’s capital efficiency is evident in its low debt-to-equity ratio and prudent capex, ensuring sustainable returns. The absence of significant leverage allows flexibility for strategic initiatives, including potential M&A or share repurchases.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Cavco maintains a solid balance sheet, with $352.7 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of just $35.1 million, reflecting a conservative financial structure. The strong liquidity position and minimal leverage provide resilience against cyclical downturns and support opportunistic investments. Shareholders’ equity remains robust, underpinning financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, driven by organic expansion and acquisitions. While Cavco does not currently pay dividends, its capital allocation prioritizes reinvestment and strategic flexibility. The company’s focus on scalable operations and market penetration suggests potential for sustained top-line growth, supported by housing demand trends.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $18.37 EPS, Cavco’s valuation reflects investor confidence in its earnings stability and growth prospects. The market likely prices in continued execution on margin expansion and market share gains, given its competitive positioning in the factory-built housing sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cavco’s vertically integrated model, brand diversity, and acquisition strategy position it well for long-term growth. Industry tailwinds, including housing affordability challenges, could drive demand for its cost-effective solutions. The outlook remains positive, contingent on execution and macroeconomic conditions affecting consumer spending.

Sources

10-K filing, company financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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