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Intrinsic Value of Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO)

Previous Close$28.18
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$28.18

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. operates in the water utilities sector, specializing in the development and operation of seawater desalination plants and water distribution systems. The company generates revenue through long-term contracts with governments and commercial entities, primarily in the Caribbean and the United States. Its core business segments include retail water sales, bulk water supply, and engineering services, positioning it as a key player in regions facing water scarcity and infrastructure challenges. The company’s competitive advantage lies in its expertise in desalination technology and its ability to secure stable, recurring revenue streams from essential services. With a focus on sustainability and operational efficiency, Consolidated Water has established itself as a reliable provider in niche markets where water demand outstrips natural supply. Its market position is further strengthened by regulatory barriers to entry and the capital-intensive nature of desalination projects, which limit competition.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Consolidated Water reported revenue of $134.0 million, with net income of $28.2 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 21.1%. The company’s operating cash flow of $36.5 million underscores its ability to convert revenue into cash efficiently. Capital expenditures of $6.7 million indicate disciplined reinvestment, aligning with its focus on maintaining and expanding infrastructure without overleveraging.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of $1.77 demonstrates strong earnings power, supported by high-margin desalination operations. With minimal debt ($3.5 million) and substantial cash reserves ($99.4 million), Consolidated Water exhibits exceptional capital efficiency, allowing for strategic flexibility. Its low leverage ratio and high liquidity position it well to fund growth or return capital to shareholders.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Consolidated Water’s balance sheet is notably healthy, with cash and equivalents covering nearly 29x its total debt. The absence of significant liabilities and a debt-to-equity ratio close to zero highlight a conservative financial strategy. This prudence ensures resilience against economic downturns and provides ample capacity for opportunistic investments or dividend increases.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated consistent growth, driven by expanding desalination demand in its core markets. Its dividend payout of $0.40 per share, supported by strong cash flow, reflects a commitment to shareholder returns. With a payout ratio of approximately 22.6%, there is room for future dividend growth while retaining earnings for reinvestment.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E ratio derived from its $1.77 EPS, Consolidated Water’s valuation reflects investor confidence in its stable cash flows and niche market position. The market likely prices in continued growth from water scarcity trends and potential contract expansions, though geopolitical risks in its operating regions remain a consideration.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Consolidated Water’s strategic advantages include its technological expertise, long-term contracts, and low-cost operations. The outlook is positive, with increasing global water stress driving demand for desalination. However, reliance on government contracts and regional economic conditions introduces volatility. The company’s strong balance sheet and cash reserves position it to capitalize on growth opportunities while mitigating risks.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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