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Intrinsic Value of Data I/O Corporation (DAIO)

Previous Close$3.13
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$3.13

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Data I/O Corporation operates in the semiconductor and electronics manufacturing industry, specializing in programming and security deployment solutions for connected devices. The company’s core revenue model is driven by the sale of hardware and software systems that enable secure data programming for microcontrollers, flash memory, and other embedded systems. Its flagship products include the PSV family of automated programmers and the SentriX® security deployment platform, which cater to automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics markets. Data I/O holds a niche position as a trusted provider of secure provisioning solutions, particularly for IoT and automotive applications where data integrity is critical. The company competes by emphasizing reliability, scalability, and compliance with industry security standards, though it faces competition from larger semiconductor equipment providers. Its market positioning is bolstered by long-standing customer relationships and a focus on high-growth segments like electric vehicles and industrial automation.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Data I/O reported revenue of $21.8 million, reflecting challenges in demand cyclicality. The company posted a net loss of $3.1 million, with diluted EPS of -$0.34, indicating margin pressure. Operating cash flow was negative at $995,000, while capital expenditures totaled $467,000, suggesting constrained liquidity. These metrics highlight inefficiencies in converting revenue to profitability amid a subdued semiconductor equipment market.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The negative earnings and operating cash flow underscore limited earnings power in the current cycle. Capital efficiency appears strained, with cash burn outweighing reinvestment needs. The company’s ability to scale profitability hinges on demand recovery in its end markets, particularly automotive electronics, where its security provisioning solutions are critical.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Data I/O maintains a modest balance sheet, with $10.3 million in cash and equivalents against $2.2 million in total debt, providing liquidity but limited leverage capacity. The absence of dividends aligns with its focus on preserving capital. While not distressed, the company’s financial health depends on stabilizing cash flows and managing working capital more effectively.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends remain muted, with no dividend policy in place, reflecting a prioritization of reinvestment over shareholder returns. The company’s performance is tied to semiconductor capex cycles, with potential upside from IoT and automotive electrification tailwinds. However, near-term visibility is limited given macroeconomic uncertainties.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices DAIO as a cyclical small-cap with niche exposure, trading on cash position and speculative recovery potential. Negative earnings and cash flow suggest subdued expectations, though its technology in secure provisioning could warrant premium valuation if adoption accelerates.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Data I/O’s strategic advantage lies in its specialized security deployment solutions, which are critical for IoT and automotive applications. The outlook depends on broader semiconductor demand recovery and its ability to capitalize on secure data programming trends. Execution risks remain, but the company’s focus on high-reliability markets provides a foundation for long-term relevance.

Sources

10-K filing, company disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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