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Intrinsic Value of Dayforce Inc (DAY)

Previous Close$54.88
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$54.88

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Dayforce Inc operates in the human capital management (HCM) software industry, providing cloud-based solutions for payroll, workforce management, HR, and benefits administration. The company serves mid-sized and large enterprises, leveraging its unified platform to streamline complex workforce processes. Its revenue model is primarily subscription-based, ensuring recurring income with high retention rates. Dayforce competes in a fragmented market dominated by legacy providers, positioning itself as a modern, scalable alternative with strong integration capabilities. The HCM sector is growing due to increasing regulatory complexity and demand for automation, where Dayforce’s real-time data processing and compliance features provide a competitive edge. Its global footprint and focus on innovation help it capture market share in a highly competitive environment.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Dayforce reported $1.76 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $18.1 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 1.0%. The company generated $281.1 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating solid cash conversion. Capital expenditures totaled $109.6 million, indicating ongoing investments in platform scalability and technology. The diluted EPS of $0.11 suggests modest but positive earnings power, supported by efficient cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s operating cash flow of $281.1 million underscores its ability to monetize its subscription-based model effectively. With $579.7 million in cash and equivalents, Dayforce maintains liquidity to fund growth initiatives. However, total debt of $1.23 billion suggests a leveraged balance sheet, though the recurring revenue base provides stability. Capital efficiency is evident in its ability to scale while maintaining profitability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Dayforce’s balance sheet shows $579.7 million in cash and equivalents against $1.23 billion in total debt, indicating a net debt position. The company’s financial health is supported by strong operating cash flow, which covers interest obligations and growth investments. The absence of dividends allows reinvestment into the business, aligning with its growth-focused strategy. Leverage metrics should be monitored given the debt load.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Dayforce’s growth is driven by increasing adoption of its HCM platform, with revenue reaching $1.76 billion in FY 2024. The company does not pay dividends, prioritizing reinvestment in product development and market expansion. Subscription revenue growth and cross-selling opportunities in existing client bases are key drivers. The lack of dividends reflects a focus on long-term value creation through organic and inorganic growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a diluted EPS of $0.11 and 157.8 million shares outstanding, Dayforce’s market valuation likely reflects expectations of sustained revenue growth and margin expansion. Investors may focus on its ability to scale profitably in a competitive HCM market. The company’s recurring revenue model and strong cash flow generation support a premium valuation relative to traditional software peers.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Dayforce’s strategic advantages include its unified HCM platform, real-time data capabilities, and strong compliance features. The outlook remains positive as demand for cloud-based HCM solutions grows, though competition from larger players poses risks. Continued innovation and international expansion are critical to maintaining its market position. Execution on cross-selling and upselling initiatives will be key to driving future profitability.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001725057

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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