investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueDFV Deutsche Familienversicherung AG (DFV.DE)

Previous Close6.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
6.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung AG is a digital-first insurance provider specializing in niche personal and household coverage in Germany. The company operates in the highly competitive insurance sector, leveraging technology to streamline underwriting, claims processing, and customer acquisition. Its product portfolio spans property, accident, liability, health, and pet insurance, catering to families and individuals seeking tailored, affordable protection. Unlike traditional insurers, DFV emphasizes digital distribution, reducing overhead costs while improving accessibility. The company’s focus on supplementary health and long-term care insurance aligns with Germany’s aging population and rising demand for private coverage. DFV competes with both established insurers and insurtech disruptors, differentiating itself through transparent pricing and a user-friendly digital experience. Its market position remains small but agile, targeting underserved segments with flexible, modular policies. The shift toward digital insurance in Europe provides growth opportunities, though regulatory scrutiny and pricing pressure persist.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, DFV reported revenue of €102.4 million, reflecting steady premium growth in its core segments. Net income reached €4.2 million, with diluted EPS at €0.28, indicating improved underwriting discipline. Operating cash flow stood at €23.4 million, supported by efficient claims management and lower acquisition costs. Capital expenditures were minimal (-€795,000), underscoring the asset-light digital model. The absence of dividends suggests reinvestment in growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is constrained by its niche focus but benefits from low overheads and scalable digital infrastructure. Return metrics are modest but improving, with capital efficiency driven by selective risk pooling and reinsurance strategies. The diluted EPS of €0.28 reflects disciplined expense control, though margins remain sensitive to claims volatility in personal lines.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

DFV maintains a conservative balance sheet, with €8.2 million in cash and equivalents against €9.2 million of total debt. The debt level is manageable given stable cash flows, and regulatory capital ratios are likely adequate for its insurance obligations. Liquidity appears sufficient to cover near-term claims and operational needs without straining solvency.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by digital adoption and cross-selling in health-related products, though the top-line pace is moderate. The company retains all earnings (dividend per share: €0), prioritizing market penetration over shareholder payouts. Expansion into adjacent insurance verticals could accelerate revenue, but competition limits pricing power.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a €96.3 million market cap, DFV trades at ~0.94x revenue, reflecting skepticism about scalability in a crowded market. The low beta (0.448) suggests limited correlation with broader equities, typical for niche insurers. Investors likely await clearer profitability trends before assigning higher multiples.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

DFV’s digital agility and focus on underserved segments provide a defensible niche, but scale remains a challenge. The outlook hinges on leveraging technology to improve loss ratios and customer retention. Regulatory tailwinds for private health insurance could support growth, though macroeconomic pressures may dampen discretionary coverage demand.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount