Previous Close | $82.93 |
Intrinsic Value | $51.85 |
Upside potential | -37% |
Data is not available at this time.
DexCom, Inc. is a leading medical device company specializing in continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for diabetes management. The company’s core revenue model is driven by the sale of its proprietary CGM sensors, transmitters, and software, which provide real-time glucose data to patients and healthcare providers. DexCom operates in the rapidly growing digital health sector, where demand for remote monitoring solutions is accelerating due to rising diabetes prevalence and technological advancements. DexCom holds a strong competitive position, differentiated by its accuracy, ease of use, and integration with insulin pumps and other diabetes management tools. The company primarily serves type 1 and type 2 diabetes patients, with a growing focus on expanding into non-intensive diabetes management. Its market leadership is reinforced by partnerships with major healthcare providers and insurers, ensuring broad reimbursement coverage. DexCom’s innovation pipeline, including next-generation sensors and AI-driven analytics, further solidifies its long-term growth potential in the global CGM market, estimated to expand significantly over the next decade.
DexCom reported revenue of $4.03 billion for FY 2024, reflecting strong demand for its CGM systems. Net income stood at $576.2 million, with diluted EPS of $1.42, demonstrating improved profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $989.5 million, indicating efficient cash generation from core operations. The absence of reported capital expenditures suggests disciplined spending, though further details on reinvestment would provide deeper insight into operational efficiency.
The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to convert revenue into net income at a healthy margin. With no reported capital expenditures, DexCom appears to prioritize scalability and operational leverage. However, the lack of capex data limits a full assessment of capital allocation efficiency. The strong operating cash flow suggests effective working capital management and sustainable earnings quality.
DexCom’s balance sheet shows $606.1 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for growth initiatives. Total debt of $2.59 billion indicates leverage, though the company’s cash flow generation supports debt servicing. The absence of dividends suggests a focus on reinvesting profits into R&D and market expansion. Further details on debt maturity and covenants would enhance the assessment of financial stability.
DexCom’s revenue growth aligns with expanding CGM adoption, driven by increasing diabetes prevalence and technological advancements. The company does not pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest in innovation and global market penetration. Future growth may hinge on regulatory approvals, payer coverage expansions, and international adoption, particularly in emerging markets with rising diabetes rates.
The market likely prices DexCom at a premium, reflecting its leadership in the high-growth CGM sector. Investors may expect sustained top-line growth and margin expansion as the company scales. However, valuation multiples should be weighed against competitive pressures and potential reimbursement changes that could impact profitability.
DexCom’s strategic advantages include its first-mover brand recognition, proprietary technology, and strong payer relationships. The outlook remains positive, supported by secular tailwinds in diabetes care and innovation in AI-driven glucose monitoring. Risks include regulatory hurdles and competition from established medtech firms and startups. Long-term success will depend on maintaining technological leadership and expanding into adjacent health markets.
Company filings (10-K), investor presentations
show cash flow forecast
Fiscal year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | |
INCOME STATEMENT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue growth rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue, $ | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
EBITDA, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense (income), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings before tax, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax expense, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
BALANCE SHEET | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and short-term investments, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average production assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total debt, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total equity, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt-to-equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
CASH FLOW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Funds from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maintenance CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
New CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained Cash Flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash available for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discount rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PV of cash for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current shareholders' claim on cash, % | NaN |