investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE)

Previous Close$27.09
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$27.09

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Excelerate Energy, Inc. operates as a flexible liquefied natural gas (LNG) solutions provider, specializing in the midstream segment of the energy sector. The company’s core revenue model is built on long-term contracts for LNG regasification and transportation services, leveraging its fleet of floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs). Excelerate serves utilities, governments, and industrial customers, offering tailored energy solutions that bridge supply gaps in regions with limited pipeline infrastructure. The company differentiates itself through operational flexibility, rapid deployment capabilities, and a focus on emerging markets where LNG demand is growing. Excelerate’s market position is strengthened by its strategic partnerships and ability to provide end-to-end LNG solutions, positioning it as a key player in the global energy transition. The company competes with traditional LNG import terminals and other FSRU operators but maintains an edge due to its asset-light approach and scalable infrastructure.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Excelerate Energy reported revenue of $851.4 million for FY 2024, with net income of $32.9 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.9%. The company generated $244.4 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating solid cash conversion. Capital expenditures totaled $113.3 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in its asset base. These metrics suggest moderate profitability and efficient capital deployment, though margins are influenced by the capital-intensive nature of the LNG industry.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of $1.27 underscores its earnings capability, supported by stable contract revenues and operational leverage. Excelerate’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate positive operating cash flow despite significant capex demands. The balance between growth investments and cash generation highlights a sustainable business model, though earnings power remains sensitive to LNG market volatility and contract renewals.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Excelerate maintains a robust balance sheet with $537.5 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for operations and growth. Total debt stands at $697.4 million, resulting in a net debt position of $159.9 million. The manageable leverage ratio and strong cash reserves indicate financial stability, though the company’s debt profile warrants monitoring given the cyclicality of energy markets.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Excelerate’s growth is tied to global LNG demand, particularly in emerging markets. The company’s dividend payout of $1.02 per share reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, with a yield that aligns with industry peers. Future growth may hinge on expanding its FSRU fleet and securing new long-term contracts, though dividend sustainability will depend on cash flow consistency.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values Excelerate based on its contracted revenue streams and growth potential in the LNG sector. Trading multiples should be assessed against peers, considering its niche focus on FSRUs. Investors may weigh the company’s ability to capitalize on energy transition trends against execution risks in volatile commodity markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Excelerate’s strategic advantages include its flexible infrastructure and first-mover presence in underserved LNG markets. The outlook remains positive, driven by global energy security concerns and the shift toward cleaner fuels. However, regulatory changes and competition from alternative energy sources could pose challenges. The company’s ability to adapt to market dynamics will be critical for long-term success.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount