investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueEpwin Group Plc (EPWN.L)

Previous Close£119.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£119.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Epwin Group Plc operates as a leading manufacturer and supplier of building products, primarily serving the UK and European markets. The company specializes in PVC-u and PVC-ue materials, offering a diversified portfolio including windows, doors, decking, cladding systems, and drainage solutions. Its two core segments—Extrusion and Moulding, and Fabrication and Distribution—cater to a broad customer base, from social housing providers to DIY retailers, leveraging a network of 100+ trade distribution centers. Epwin holds a strong position in the construction sector, particularly in sustainable and low-maintenance building materials, supported by its vertically integrated operations. The company’s focus on innovation and energy-efficient products aligns with evolving regulatory standards and consumer demand for eco-friendly solutions. Its market leadership in roofline and window systems is reinforced by long-standing relationships with fabricators, installers, and merchants, providing resilience against cyclical industry downturns.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Epwin reported revenue of £324 million (GBp) for the latest fiscal period, with net income of £16.6 million, reflecting a modest but stable margin. Operating cash flow stood at £38.3 million, indicating efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of £8 million suggest disciplined reinvestment, though the company maintains a lean approach to growth. The diluted EPS of 12p underscores its ability to generate shareholder value despite macroeconomic headwinds.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its diversified product mix and operational integration, which mitigate raw material volatility. With an operating cash flow covering interest obligations comfortably, Epwin demonstrates prudent capital allocation. Its focus on high-margin fabricated products and distribution efficiencies enhances return on invested capital, though leverage metrics warrant monitoring given £117.8 million in total debt.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Epwin’s balance sheet shows £10.7 million in cash against £117.8 million of total debt, indicating moderate leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests manageable financial risk, supported by consistent cash generation. Liquidity appears adequate for near-term obligations, but refinancing needs may arise given the debt maturity profile. The company’s asset-light distribution model contributes to flexible financial positioning.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by demand for energy-efficient building solutions and market share gains in roofline products. The dividend payout of 5.1p per share reflects a balanced approach, prioritizing reinvestment while rewarding shareholders. Historical trends suggest cautious but sustainable dividend growth, aligned with earnings progression and free cash flow generation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of £131.8 million and a beta of 0.64, Epwin trades at a discount to broader industrials, reflecting its niche focus and cyclical exposure. The P/E ratio implies modest growth expectations, though operational resilience could warrant re-rating if macroeconomic conditions stabilize.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Epwin’s vertically integrated model and distribution network provide competitive insulation. Strategic focus on sustainability and product innovation positions it well for regulatory tailwinds. Near-term challenges include input cost inflation and housing market volatility, but long-term demand for retrofit and new-build solutions remains robust.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount