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Intrinsic Value of Entergy Corporation (ETR)

Previous Close$84.61
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$84.61

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $Initial revenue growth rate, %Variable cost ratio, %Fixed operating exp., mln $Prod. assets / Revenue, %Working capital / Revenue, %Interest rate on debt, %Initial discount rate, %Shares outstanding, mlnAdjusted equity ratioAdjusted assets / RevenueCash & ST InvestmentsTotal debt

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of 2024-12-31.

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-2.2-1.8-1.5-1.2-0.9-0.6-0.3-0.00.20.50.70.91.11.31.51.71.82.02.12.32.42.52.72.82.9
Revenue, $11618114051123411102110061094310911109081093210983110591115911282114301160011793120091224812510127951310513439137981418214593
Variable operating expenses, $m1005098659717960395209466943894359456950095669652975998871003410201103871059410821110681133611624119351226812623
Fixed operating expenses, $m-1139-1236-1341-1455-1579-1713-1858-2016-2188-2374-2576-2794-3032-3290-3569-3873-4202-4559-4947-5367-5823-6318-6855-7438-8070
Total operating expenses, $m8911862983768148794177537580741972687126699068586727659764656328618560355874570155135306508048304553
Operating income, $m27082776285829543064319033313489366438564068430145554833513554655823621266357094759281328718935210040
EBITDA, $m4255428943434417451146244757491050855281549957416009630266246976735977778231872492599839104681115011888
Interest expense (income), $m922111761491281131039897101109121137157180208238273311353398447501558619
Earnings before tax, $m2615256526812804293630773228339135663755395941804418467649555257558559406325674271947685821787959421
Tax expense, $m7066937247577938318729169631014106911281193126213381419150816041708182019422075221923752544
Net income, $m1909187219572047214322462357247626032741289030513225341336173838407743364617492152525610599964206877

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m0000000000000000000000000
Total assets, $m57859567955594455287548105449654337543225444354695550725557056186569195776658728598036099362298637206526266925687127062772673
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m57859567955594455287548105449654337543225444354695550725557056186569195776658728598036099362298637206526266925687127062772673
Average production assets, $m45404445694390143386430114276542640426284272442921432174360844092446674533146086469304786348888500045121352518539215542457030
Working capital, $m-2544-2498-2460-2431-2410-2397-2390-2389-2394-2405-2422-2444-2471-2503-2540-2583-2630-2682-2740-2802-2870-2943-3022-3106-3196
Total debt, $m526344113731320628232573244524332530273130333432392545115189595868187770881499521118512515139451547717114
Total liabilities, $m46287454364475544230438484359743470434574355443756440574445644949455354621346982478424879449839509765220953540549705650258139
Total equity, $m11572113591118911057109621089910867108641088910939110141111411237113841155311746119611219912460127441305213385137421412514535
Debt-to-equity ratio0.1990.4630.3940.3370.2920.2590.2370.2250.2230.2310.2480.2730.3050.3450.3900.4420.4980.5590.6240.6920.7620.8360.9110.9871.065
Adjusted equity ratio0.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.2000.200

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1909187219572047214322462357247626032741289030513225341336173838407743364617492152525610599964206877
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1548151314861463144614341426142114211424143114411454147014891511153615641595163016671707175117971847
Funds from operations, $m3457338634433511359036803782389740244165432144924679488351065349561359006212655169197317774982178725
Change in working capital, $m57473729211471-5-11-17-22-27-32-37-42-47-52-57-63-68-73-79-84-90
Cash from operations, $m3400333934053482356936663775389640304176433745144706491551435391566059536270661469867390782883028815
Maintenance CAPEX, $m-1548-1513-1486-1463-1446-1434-1426-1421-1421-1424-1431-1441-1454-1470-1489-1511-1536-1564-1595-1630-1667-1707-1751-1797-1847
New CAPEX, $m00000000-95-197-296-391-484-575-665-754-844-934-1024-1116-1210-1305-1403-1503-1606
Total CAPEX, $m-1548-1513-1486-1463-1446-1434-1426-1421-1516-1622-1726-1832-1937-2045-2154-2266-2380-2498-2620-2746-2876-3012-3153-3300-3453
Free cash flow, $m1852182619202018212222332350247525142555261126822768287129893126328034553650386841104378467550025361
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m0000000000000000000000000
Retained Cash Flow, $m3242131701319663323-24-50-75-100-123-147-169-192-215-238-261-284-308-333-357-383-409
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3188
Cash available for distribution, $m5299199620562123219922832375247724892505253625822645272428202933306532173389358338024046431746194952
Discount rate, %4.905.155.405.675.966.256.576.897.247.607.988.388.809.249.7010.1910.7011.2311.7912.3813.0013.6514.3315.0515.80
PV of cash for distribution, $m50521805175617031647158615221453132712041090983884790703621545474408347292242198160126
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100