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Intrinsic ValueEvonik Industries AG (EVK.SW)

Previous CloseCHF28.47
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF28.47

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Evonik Industries AG is a leading global specialty chemicals company, operating across five key segments: Specialty Additives, Nutrition & Care, Smart Materials, Performance Materials, and Technology & Infrastructure. The company serves diverse industries, including automotive, construction, healthcare, and consumer goods, with a focus on high-margin, innovation-driven products such as polyurethane additives, amino acids, hydrogen peroxide, and superabsorbents. Evonik’s market position is reinforced by its strong R&D capabilities, proprietary technologies, and a vertically integrated supply chain that enhances cost efficiency. The company’s global footprint, with operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Americas, allows it to cater to regional demand dynamics while mitigating geopolitical risks. Its subsidiary status under RAG-Stiftung provides financial stability, though it operates independently in competitive markets where differentiation through sustainability and advanced material solutions is critical. Evonik’s focus on high-growth sectors like electric vehicles, renewable energy, and animal nutrition positions it strategically for long-term value creation.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Evonik reported revenue of €15.16 billion in FY 2024, with net income of €222 million, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic environment. The diluted EPS of €0.48 indicates modest profitability, while operating cash flow of €1.71 billion demonstrates solid cash generation. Capital expenditures of €840 million highlight ongoing investments in capacity expansion and innovation, though margins remain pressured by raw material volatility and energy costs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its diversified product portfolio and focus on high-value applications. Operating cash flow covers capital expenditures comfortably, but net income margins are thin, suggesting room for operational improvements. Evonik’s capital allocation prioritizes R&D and sustainability initiatives, which are critical for maintaining competitiveness in specialty chemicals.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Evonik’s balance sheet shows €461 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of €3.78 billion, indicating moderate leverage. The debt level is manageable given the stable cash flow profile, but refinancing risks in a rising rate environment warrant monitoring. The company’s financial health is further supported by its parent entity, RAG-Stiftung, providing a backstop if needed.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are mixed, with headwinds from weaker industrial demand offset by strength in niche segments like animal nutrition and healthcare. The dividend payout of €1.13 per share reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, though sustainability depends on earnings recovery. Strategic initiatives in sustainability and digitalization aim to drive long-term growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €13.27 billion and a beta of 1.04, Evonik trades in line with sector peers, reflecting balanced expectations. Investors likely await clearer signs of margin improvement and growth acceleration before rerating the stock higher. The current valuation discounts near-term challenges but acknowledges the company’s long-term potential.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Evonik’s strategic advantages lie in its technological expertise, global reach, and focus on sustainable solutions. The outlook hinges on execution in high-growth markets and cost management. While macroeconomic uncertainties persist, the company’s innovation pipeline and restructuring efforts position it for recovery as conditions stabilize.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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