investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN)

Previous Close$36.73
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$36.73

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. operates as a regional bank holding company primarily serving Texas through its subsidiary, First Financial Bank. The company provides a comprehensive suite of financial services, including commercial and retail banking, wealth management, and treasury solutions. Its revenue model is anchored in net interest income from loans and deposits, supplemented by fee-based services such as trust and investment management. Operating in a competitive regional banking landscape, First Financial Bankshares distinguishes itself through a community-focused approach, emphasizing personalized customer relationships and localized decision-making. The bank has cultivated a strong presence in Texas, leveraging its deep regional expertise to serve small businesses, agricultural clients, and retail customers. Its market positioning is reinforced by a conservative risk management strategy and a reputation for stability, which has allowed it to maintain steady growth even in fluctuating economic conditions. The company’s ability to integrate technology while retaining a high-touch service model positions it well against both larger national banks and smaller local competitors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, First Financial Bankshares reported revenue of $537.0 million and net income of $223.5 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $1.56. Operating cash flow stood at $303.8 million, reflecting efficient cash generation from core banking activities. Capital expenditures were modest at $16.7 million, indicating disciplined investment in infrastructure and technology without overextending resources.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates solid earnings power, with net income margins of approximately 41.6%, underscoring its ability to convert revenue into profit effectively. Its capital efficiency is evident in its prudent balance sheet management, with a focus on high-quality loans and deposits. The bank’s low reliance on debt, with total debt at $121.1 million against cash and equivalents of $763.4 million, highlights its conservative financial approach.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

First Financial Bankshares maintains a robust balance sheet, with cash and equivalents totaling $763.4 million and total debt of $121.1 million, resulting in a strong liquidity position. The company’s conservative leverage and ample liquidity provide resilience against economic downturns. Shareholders’ equity is well-supported by retained earnings and a stable deposit base, reinforcing long-term financial health.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has exhibited steady growth, supported by its regional focus and disciplined expansion strategy. Its dividend policy reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, with a dividend per share of $0.72. While growth has been consistent, it remains measured, prioritizing sustainability over aggressive expansion. The dividend payout ratio appears manageable, aligning with the bank’s conservative financial philosophy.

Valuation And Market Expectations

First Financial Bankshares trades at a valuation reflective of its stable earnings and regional banking niche. Market expectations likely factor in its consistent profitability, low-risk profile, and ability to navigate regional economic cycles. The bank’s premium valuation relative to peers may be justified by its strong balance sheet and reliable dividend payments, though growth prospects remain tied to Texas’s economic performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company’s strategic advantages include its deep Texas roots, conservative risk management, and customer-centric approach. Looking ahead, First Financial Bankshares is well-positioned to capitalize on regional economic growth, though it faces competition from both larger banks and fintech disruptors. Its outlook remains positive, provided it continues to balance technological adoption with its traditional strengths in community banking.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount