investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueFirst Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBIP)

Previous Close$17.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$17.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. operates as a regional bank holding company, primarily serving commercial and retail customers through its subsidiary, First Guaranty Bank. The company generates revenue through traditional banking activities, including interest income from loans and investments, as well as fee-based services such as deposit accounts, wealth management, and treasury solutions. Its market position is anchored in community banking, with a focus on small to mid-sized businesses and individual clients in its regional footprint. The bank differentiates itself through personalized service, local decision-making, and a conservative lending approach, which has fostered long-term customer relationships. Operating in a competitive regional banking sector, First Guaranty Bancshares maintains a niche presence by emphasizing reliability and customer-centric solutions over aggressive expansion. Its loan portfolio is diversified across commercial real estate, agriculture, and consumer lending, mitigating sector-specific risks while supporting steady interest income.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, First Guaranty Bancshares reported revenue of $111.5 million and net income of $12.4 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $1.18. The company's operating cash flow stood at $33.7 million, with no reported capital expenditures, reflecting efficient cash generation from core banking operations. These metrics suggest stable profitability, though margin pressures from interest rate fluctuations may warrant monitoring.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank's earnings power is driven by its interest income and disciplined cost management. With a modest net income relative to revenue, capital efficiency appears balanced, though further analysis of net interest margin and non-interest expenses would provide deeper insights. The absence of capital expenditures indicates a lean operational model, typical of regional banks focused on organic growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

First Guaranty Bancshares maintains a solid balance sheet, with $563.8 million in cash and equivalents against $194.9 million in total debt, suggesting strong liquidity. The low debt-to-cash ratio underscores financial stability, though the composition of its loan portfolio and asset quality metrics would further clarify risk exposure. Shareholders' equity appears robust, supporting future growth or dividend commitments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company's growth trajectory appears steady, with a dividend payout of $1.69 per share, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns. However, the lack of explicit revenue or earnings growth figures limits trend analysis. Regional banks like First Guaranty often prioritize stability over aggressive expansion, which may align with its conservative dividend policy.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading under the ticker FGBIP, the bank's valuation metrics are not provided, but its EPS of $1.18 and dividend yield suggest a focus on income-oriented investors. Market expectations likely hinge on interest rate trends and regional economic conditions, which influence net interest margins and loan demand.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

First Guaranty Bancshares benefits from its community-focused model, which fosters customer loyalty and reduces competition with national banks. Its conservative balance sheet and localized expertise position it well for steady performance. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rate volatility or regional economic downturns, could challenge growth. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on maintaining asset quality and cost discipline.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001408534), financial statements for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount