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Intrinsic Value of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND)

Previous Close$83.29
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$83.29

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, catering primarily to professional installers, commercial businesses, and do-it-yourself customers. The company differentiates itself through a broad in-stock assortment, competitive pricing, and a warehouse-format store model that emphasizes bulk displays and self-service. Its product portfolio includes tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone flooring, along with installation materials and decorative accessories. Floor & Decor has carved a niche in the highly fragmented $100B+ U.S. flooring market by combining the convenience of big-box retail with specialized product expertise. The company's vertically integrated supply chain and direct sourcing relationships enable cost efficiencies and consistent product availability. With a focus on trade professionals—who drive approximately 40% of sales—the company maintains strong brand loyalty in a competitive sector dominated by smaller independents and home improvement giants. Its national expansion strategy targets underserved markets, leveraging demographic trends favoring home renovation over relocation.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY2024, Floor & Decor reported $4.46B in revenue with net income of $205.9M, reflecting a 4.6% net margin. The company generated $603.2M in operating cash flow, demonstrating solid conversion of sales to cash. Capital expenditures of $446.8M indicate continued investment in store growth and infrastructure, with a disciplined approach to maintaining positive free cash flow despite expansion costs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of $1.90 reflects moderate earnings leverage on its revenue base. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures at 1.35x suggests sustainable self-funding capacity for growth initiatives. Inventory turnover and working capital metrics align with industry norms for specialty retailers carrying high-value merchandise.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Floor & Decor maintains $187.7M in cash against $1.69B of total debt, resulting in a leveraged but manageable position for its growth stage. The balance sheet supports ongoing store rollout plans, with debt levels typical for capital-intensive retail expansion. Liquidity appears adequate given consistent operating cash generation and access to revolving credit facilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company pursues a growth-oriented strategy with no dividend payments, reinvesting all earnings into market expansion and operational improvements. Comparable store sales growth and new store productivity remain key metrics, with the store count increasing approximately 15-20% annually in recent years. Management targets long-term revenue growth above the home improvement sector average.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Current valuation multiples reflect expectations for continued market share gains in the fragmented flooring industry. Investors appear to price in successful execution of the national expansion strategy, with premium given to the company's differentiated trade professional focus and supply chain advantages relative to competitors.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Key advantages include direct sourcing relationships, trade professional loyalty, and scalable warehouse formats. Near-term challenges include macroeconomic sensitivity to housing turnover and renovation activity. Long-term prospects remain favorable due to urbanization trends and aging housing stock requiring flooring replacements, positioning Floor & Decor to capitalize on secular demand drivers in its niche.

Sources

Company 10-K filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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