investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Fox Corporation (FOX)

Previous Close$50.59
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$50.59

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Fox Corporation operates as a leading diversified media and entertainment company, primarily focused on news, sports, and entertainment content. Its core revenue streams include advertising sales, affiliate fees from cable and satellite providers, and direct-to-consumer subscriptions. The company owns high-profile brands such as Fox News, Fox Sports, and the Fox Broadcasting Network, positioning it as a dominant player in the U.S. media landscape. Fox leverages its strong brand equity and extensive distribution network to maintain competitive advantages in a rapidly evolving industry. The company’s strategic focus on live and event-driven programming, particularly in news and sports, differentiates it from competitors reliant on scripted content. This approach ensures consistent viewer engagement and advertiser demand, even amid shifting consumer preferences toward streaming platforms. Fox’s market position is further reinforced by its ownership of Tubi, a free ad-supported streaming service, which complements its traditional linear TV business and expands its digital footprint.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Fox Corporation reported revenue of $13.98 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $1.50 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 10.7%. Diluted EPS stood at $3.13, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $1.84 billion, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of $345 million indicate disciplined investment in content and technology, aligning with its growth strategy.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow, which exceeds net income, highlighting strong cash conversion. Fox’s capital efficiency is evident in its balanced approach to reinvestment, with capex representing a modest share of revenue. This disciplined allocation supports both organic growth and shareholder returns, without overleveraging the balance sheet.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Fox maintains a solid financial position, with $4.32 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of $8.15 billion. The liquidity cushion provides flexibility for strategic initiatives or debt management. While leverage is moderate, the company’s consistent cash flow generation mitigates refinancing risks. Its financial health is further supported by a manageable debt-to-EBITDA ratio, typical for media peers.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Fox’s growth is driven by its focus on live content and digital expansion, particularly through Tubi. The company paid a dividend of $0.59 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. While dividend yields are modest, the payout ratio remains sustainable, allowing room for reinvestment in high-return opportunities like streaming and sports rights.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $3.13 EPS, Fox’s valuation reflects market expectations of steady earnings growth, tempered by industry headwinds like cord-cutting. Investors likely price in the company’s ability to monetize its sports and news franchises, as well as Tubi’s ad-supported growth potential, balancing traditional media declines with digital upside.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Fox’s strategic advantages lie in its must-have live content, strong brands, and hybrid linear-digital model. The outlook remains stable, with opportunities in sports betting partnerships and Tubi’s expansion offsetting linear TV challenges. Management’s focus on cost discipline and targeted investments positions the company to navigate industry disruption while maintaining profitability.

Sources

10-K filings, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount