investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueFreshii Inc. (FRII.TO)

Previous Close$2.29
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.29

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Freshii Inc. operates in the competitive quick-serve restaurant industry, specializing in health-conscious offerings such as salads, bowls, wraps, and smoothies. The company primarily generates revenue through franchising, with 343 locations across Canada, the U.S., and international markets. Its asset-light model emphasizes scalability, leveraging franchisees to expand its footprint while minimizing capital expenditures. Freshii differentiates itself by targeting health-aware consumers seeking convenient, nutritious meal options, positioning it as a niche player in the broader fast-casual segment. The brand’s focus on sustainability and wellness aligns with growing consumer trends, though it faces intense competition from larger chains and emerging health-focused concepts. Despite its small scale relative to industry leaders, Freshii’s franchising strategy provides recurring revenue streams while shifting operational risks to franchise partners. The company’s international presence offers diversification but also exposes it to macroeconomic and currency risks in varying markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Freshii reported revenue of CAD 23.6 million, reflecting its reliance on franchise fees and supply chain sales. The company posted a net loss of CAD 9.97 million, with diluted EPS of -CAD 0.32, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. Operating cash flow was negative at CAD 0.2 million, while capital expenditures totaled CAD 1.19 million, underscoring constrained cash generation amid expansion efforts.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Freshii’s negative earnings and operating cash flow highlight inefficiencies in its current scale, with franchising not yet offsetting corporate overhead. The company’s capital-light model reduces fixed costs but relies heavily on franchisee success. With no dividend payouts, retained capital is directed toward growth, though the lack of positive earnings limits reinvestment capacity.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Freshii maintains a solid liquidity position, with CAD 30.8 million in cash and equivalents against CAD 8.45 million in total debt. The strong cash reserve provides a buffer for operational losses, but persistent negative cash flows could pressure long-term sustainability if not addressed. The absence of significant leverage suggests conservative financial management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Freshii’s growth is tied to franchise expansion, though FY 2021 results show limited top-line momentum. The company does not pay dividends, prioritizing reinvestment in brand development and market penetration. Its ability to attract new franchisees and improve same-store sales will be critical for reversing negative earnings trends.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 68.4 million, Freshii trades at a low multiple relative to revenue, reflecting skepticism about its path to profitability. The beta of 0.51 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, possibly due to its small size and niche positioning.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Freshii’s focus on health-conscious consumers and franchising scalability offers long-term potential, but execution risks remain. The company must streamline costs, enhance franchisee support, and drive comparable sales growth to achieve sustainable profitability. Macroeconomic pressures and competitive intensity could challenge its turnaround efforts.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount