investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueSGT German Private Equity GmbH & Co. KGaA (GAI.DE)

Previous Close0.85
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
0.85

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

SGT German Private Equity GmbH & Co. KGaA operates as a specialized private equity firm focused on acquiring, nurturing, and divesting stakes in established businesses and startups. The company operates through two core segments: Asset Management, which oversees private equity funds for institutional investors, and Investment, which provides strategic and financial support to portfolio companies. Active in Germany’s competitive financial services sector, the firm targets value creation through operational improvements and strategic exits. Its niche lies in bridging early-stage financing gaps while leveraging hands-on management expertise. Despite its small scale, the company differentiates itself through a dual approach—balancing fund management with direct investments—though its market position remains constrained by limited AUM and macroeconomic headwinds affecting private equity valuations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported negative revenue of €-259.4k and a net loss of €-81.5M in FY 2023, reflecting challenges in portfolio performance and valuation adjustments. Diluted EPS stood at €-1.76, underscoring inefficiencies in capital deployment. Operating cash flow was negative at €-2.7M, while minimal capital expenditures (€-6k) suggest limited near-term growth investments. These metrics highlight significant profitability pressures.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Persistent losses and negative operating cash flow indicate weak earnings power, exacerbated by the firm’s small scale and concentrated portfolio. The absence of dividend payouts aligns with its reinvestment-focused strategy, though capital efficiency remains suboptimal given the substantial net income deficit. The firm’s ability to generate returns hinges on successful exits, which were not evident in the reported period.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows €1.3M in cash against modest total debt of €107k, suggesting low leverage but limited liquidity. The equity base is strained by accumulated losses, raising questions about long-term solvency if losses persist. The lack of significant debt provides flexibility, but the firm’s ability to fund future investments depends on external capital or asset monetization.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are muted, with no dividends distributed and negative top-line figures. The firm’s strategy appears focused on stabilizing its portfolio rather than aggressive expansion. Investor returns are likely contingent on future divestments, though recent performance offers little visibility into turnaround potential.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €39.1M and a negative beta (-0.204), the stock may reflect niche investor interest or hedging utility. The steep losses and lack of revenue traction suggest the market assigns minimal premium to its private equity model, with valuation likely driven by speculative expectations of portfolio recoveries.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The firm’s hands-on approach to SME investments provides a differentiated angle in Germany’s crowded private equity landscape. However, macroeconomic volatility and high interest rates pose near-term risks to portfolio valuations. Strategic success hinges on executing timely exits and improving operational metrics, though current financials offer limited optimism.

Sources

Company filings, Deutsche Börse data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount