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Intrinsic Value of StealthGas Inc. (GASS)

Previous Close$6.61
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.61

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

StealthGas Inc. operates in the maritime transportation sector, specializing in the ownership and operation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) carriers. The company generates revenue primarily through time-charter contracts, which provide stable cash flows by leasing vessels to customers for fixed periods. Its fleet consists of midsize and handysize vessels, catering to regional and short-haul LPG transportation demands. The LPG shipping market is cyclical, influenced by global energy demand, trade flows, and fleet supply dynamics. StealthGas positions itself as a niche player, focusing on operational efficiency and cost management to navigate industry volatility. Its competitive edge lies in a modern, fuel-efficient fleet and long-term customer relationships, though it faces competition from larger global operators. The company’s strategic focus on smaller vessels allows it to serve ports with draft restrictions, providing access to underserved markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

StealthGas reported revenue of $167.3 million for FY 2024, with net income of $69.9 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 41.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $1.98, demonstrating strong earnings power. Operating cash flow was $103.5 million, though capital expenditures of $106.2 million indicate significant reinvestment in fleet maintenance or expansion. The company’s profitability metrics suggest efficient cost control and favorable charter rates during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its high net income relative to revenue, driven by effective vessel utilization and disciplined expense management. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures indicates a balanced approach to growth and liquidity. However, the near parity between operating cash flow and capex suggests limited free cash flow generation for FY 2024, highlighting the capital-intensive nature of the business.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

StealthGas maintains a solid balance sheet, with cash and equivalents of $80.7 million against total debt of $84.9 million, indicating a near-neutral net debt position. The manageable debt level, coupled with strong profitability, supports financial flexibility. The absence of dividends aligns with a reinvestment strategy, prioritizing fleet modernization and debt reduction over shareholder payouts.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth trajectory appears tied to fleet expansion and charter rate trends, with capex signaling ongoing investment. No dividends were paid in FY 2024, reflecting a retention of earnings for operational and strategic needs. Future growth may hinge on LPG demand trends and the company’s ability to secure favorable charters in a competitive market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization derived from 35.2 million shares outstanding and an EPS of $1.98, StealthGas trades at a P/E multiple that investors will benchmark against sector peers. The lack of dividends may weigh on yield-seeking investors, but the company’s earnings strength and balance sheet stability could justify a premium if sustained.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

StealthGas benefits from a specialized fleet and operational focus on LPG transportation, a segment with steady demand linked to global energy consumption. Its financial health and profitability provide a buffer against market downturns. The outlook depends on maintaining charter rates and managing fleet costs, with potential upside from energy transition trends favoring cleaner fuels like LPG.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001328919

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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