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Intrinsic ValueThe GDL Fund (GDL)

Previous Close$8.57
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$8.57

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

The GDL Fund is a closed-end management investment company primarily focused on generating high current income and capital appreciation through strategic investments in fixed-income securities, preferred stocks, and convertible securities. Operating in the financial services sector, the fund leverages its expertise in credit analysis and risk management to identify undervalued opportunities, targeting institutional and retail investors seeking yield-enhanced returns. Its market position is defined by a disciplined, value-oriented approach, differentiating it from broader fixed-income ETFs and mutual funds by offering concentrated exposure to niche credit markets. The fund’s revenue model hinges on interest income, dividends, and capital gains, with a focus on maintaining liquidity and minimizing downside risk. In a competitive landscape dominated by passive investment vehicles, GDL’s active management strategy provides a distinct edge, particularly in volatile or rising rate environments where credit selection is paramount.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, The GDL Fund reported revenue of $6.2 million, with net income reaching $5.4 million, reflecting a high net margin of approximately 87%. The absence of capital expenditures underscores its asset-light operational model, while operating cash flow of $24.3 million indicates strong liquidity generation. Diluted EPS of $0.49 suggests efficient earnings distribution across its 11 million outstanding shares.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The fund’s earnings power is driven by its ability to generate consistent income from its fixed-income portfolio, with a net income-to-revenue ratio exceeding 85%. Zero debt and negligible cash holdings imply a lean balance sheet, though the lack of leverage may limit return amplification. Capital efficiency is evident in its high cash flow conversion, supported by minimal operational overhead.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The GDL Fund maintains a robust financial position with no debt and negligible cash reserves, reflecting a conservative capital structure. Its asset base is entirely composed of investment securities, ensuring liquidity and flexibility. The absence of leverage reduces financial risk, though it may constrain returns in favorable market conditions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are tied to credit market performance, with limited organic expansion potential given its closed-end structure. The fund’s $0.48 annual dividend per share aligns with its income-focused mandate, offering a yield of approximately 9.8% based on current EPS. Dividend sustainability appears strong, supported by stable cash flows and no reinvestment requirements.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E ratio of approximately 10.2x based on diluted EPS, the fund is priced in line with income-focused peers. Market expectations likely center on its ability to sustain dividends amid interest rate fluctuations, with valuation metrics reflecting its niche positioning and active management premium.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The GDL Fund’s strategic advantage lies in its active credit selection and risk-averse approach, which may outperform in volatile markets. However, its reliance on fixed-income markets exposes it to interest rate and credit risks. The outlook remains contingent on macroeconomic conditions, with potential upside from disciplined portfolio rotation and yield curve positioning.

Sources

10-K filing, CIK 0001378701

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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