investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD)

Previous Close$28.52
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$28.52

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Gladstone Capital Corporation operates as a business development company (BDC) specializing in debt and equity investments in lower-middle-market companies. The firm primarily generates revenue through interest income from secured loans and dividend income from equity stakes, targeting sectors such as manufacturing, healthcare, and business services. Its investment strategy focuses on companies with stable cash flows and growth potential, positioning it as a key financier for small and mid-sized enterprises underserved by traditional banks. Gladstone Capital differentiates itself through a disciplined underwriting process and active portfolio management, offering flexible financing solutions tailored to borrower needs. The company’s market position is reinforced by its ability to provide mezzanine debt, senior secured loans, and equity co-investments, catering to a niche segment of the private credit market. Its expertise in structuring bespoke deals allows it to maintain competitive margins while mitigating risk through diversification across industries and geographies.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, Gladstone Capital reported revenue of $96.6 million, with net income reaching $94.7 million, reflecting strong profitability. Diluted EPS stood at $4.34, indicating efficient earnings distribution across its 21.8 million outstanding shares. Operating cash flow was $3.2 million, though capital expenditures were negligible, underscoring the asset-light nature of its lending operations. The firm’s revenue model remains heavily reliant on interest income, with minimal operational overhead.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Gladstone Capital’s earnings power is driven by its high-yield debt portfolio, with net income closely tracking revenue due to controlled operating expenses. The absence of capital expenditures highlights its capital-efficient structure, as it reinvests cash flows into new loans rather than fixed assets. The company’s ability to generate consistent net income demonstrates effective credit risk management and portfolio yield optimization.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company’s balance sheet shows $2.3 million in cash and equivalents against $324.6 million in total debt, indicating reliance on leverage to fund its investment activities. As a BDC, Gladstone Capital operates with a leveraged structure typical for the industry, though its debt levels warrant monitoring for liquidity risks. The absence of significant capital expenditures suggests a focus on maintaining financial flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Gladstone Capital has maintained a stable dividend policy, distributing $1.98 per share in FY 2024, supported by its robust net income. Growth prospects hinge on its ability to source high-quality loans and expand its portfolio, though macroeconomic conditions could influence borrowing demand. The dividend payout appears sustainable given current earnings, aligning with its income-focused investor base.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The company’s valuation is likely influenced by its dividend yield and portfolio performance, with investors pricing in steady cash flows from its debt investments. Market expectations may center on its ability to sustain dividend payouts while managing credit risk in a potentially rising rate environment. Its niche focus on lower-middle-market lending could attract premium pricing if credit quality remains strong.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Gladstone Capital’s strategic advantages include its specialized lending expertise and diversified portfolio, which mitigate sector-specific risks. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on stable interest income and disciplined underwriting. However, economic downturns could pressure borrower repayment capacity, necessitating vigilant risk management. The firm’s ability to navigate market cycles will be critical to long-term performance.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount