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Intrinsic Value of Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)

Previous Close$21.75
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$21.75

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Genie Energy Ltd. operates in the competitive retail energy sector, specializing in the provision of electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers. The company primarily generates revenue through variable-rate and fixed-rate supply contracts, leveraging its ability to source energy efficiently in deregulated markets. Genie Energy differentiates itself through targeted marketing strategies and customer acquisition programs, positioning as a nimble player in a market dominated by larger utilities. Its subsidiaries, including Genie Retail Energy and Prism Solar, diversify its offerings into renewable energy solutions, enhancing its appeal in evolving regulatory environments. The company’s market position is bolstered by its focus on cost-effective energy procurement and customer retention, though it faces intense competition from established providers and regulatory scrutiny in key operational regions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Genie Energy reported revenue of $425.2 million for FY 2024, with net income of $12.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.0%. Diluted EPS stood at $0.46, indicating modest profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $70.7 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of $6.7 million suggest disciplined reinvestment, aligning with the company’s growth strategy.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to maintain positive net income despite competitive pressures. Operating cash flow significantly exceeds net income, highlighting strong cash conversion. With limited capital expenditures relative to cash flow, Genie Energy demonstrates prudent capital allocation, prioritizing liquidity and shareholder returns over aggressive expansion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Genie Energy’s balance sheet remains solid, with $104.5 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $9.2 million, yielding a conservative leverage profile. The high liquidity position provides flexibility for strategic initiatives or weather-related volatility in energy markets. Shareholders’ equity is supported by retained earnings, reflecting sustained profitability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are tempered by market saturation in core regions, though renewable energy initiatives may unlock new opportunities. The company’s $0.30 annual dividend per share signals a commitment to returning capital, with a payout ratio of approximately 65% of net income, balancing reinvestment needs with shareholder rewards.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a modest earnings multiple, Genie Energy’s valuation reflects its niche market position and growth constraints. Investor expectations likely hinge on execution in renewable energy segments and regulatory developments, with limited premium assigned to its traditional retail operations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Genie Energy’s agility in customer acquisition and cost management provides a competitive edge, though reliance on deregulated markets introduces regulatory risk. The expansion into solar energy through Prism Solar could diversify revenue streams. Near-term performance will depend on energy price stability and the scalability of renewable offerings.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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