investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueGraft Polymer (UK) Plc (GPL.L)

Previous Close£0.17
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£0.17

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Graft Polymer (UK) Plc operates in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in advanced polymer modification technologies. The company develops and commercializes innovative polymer solutions, including graft/block copolymers, reactive solid super-concentrates, and porous polymer-carriers, catering to diverse industrial applications such as high-tech hardening modifiers, flame retardants, and smart polymers with self-healing properties. Its product portfolio, including GRAFTABOND, GRAFTALEN, and GRAFTAMER, targets niche markets requiring high-performance materials, positioning Graft Polymer as a technology-driven player in the polymer modification space. The company serves industries like adhesives, composites, and specialty chemicals, leveraging its R&D capabilities to differentiate itself in a competitive market. Despite its relatively recent incorporation in 2017, Graft Polymer aims to carve out a niche by addressing unmet needs in polymer science, though its market penetration remains early-stage. The firm’s focus on sustainability, such as recycling mixed polymer waste, aligns with broader industrial trends toward eco-friendly materials, enhancing its long-term growth potential.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Graft Polymer reported revenue of £587,000 for FY 2023, reflecting its early-stage commercialization efforts. The company posted a net loss of £3.12 million, with diluted EPS of -£0.03, indicating significant R&D and operational costs outweighing current revenue streams. Operating cash flow was negative at £1.24 million, while capital expenditures totaled £232,000, underscoring ongoing investments in technology and product development. The firm’s financials highlight the challenges of scaling a research-intensive business.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative earnings and cash flow demonstrate its current reliance on external funding to sustain operations. With limited revenue generation, Graft Polymer’s capital efficiency metrics remain under pressure, though its intellectual property and proprietary technologies could drive future profitability if successfully commercialized. The high beta of 1.893 suggests significant volatility, reflecting investor uncertainty about its growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Graft Polymer’s balance sheet shows £155,000 in cash and equivalents, alongside minimal total debt of £34,000. The modest cash position and lack of dividends indicate a focus on preserving liquidity for R&D and operational needs. With a market capitalization of £3.79 million, the company’s financial health hinges on its ability to secure additional funding or achieve revenue growth to offset losses.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company is in a growth phase, prioritizing R&D and market expansion over shareholder returns, as evidenced by its zero dividend policy. Revenue growth will depend on broader adoption of its polymer technologies, though the path to profitability remains uncertain. The lack of historical dividend payments aligns with its status as an early-stage innovator.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Graft Polymer’s valuation reflects its speculative growth potential, with a market cap of £3.79 million and negative earnings. Investors appear to price in future commercialization success, though the high beta indicates heightened risk. The stock’s performance will likely hinge on milestones in product adoption and partnerships.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Graft Polymer’s strategic advantage lies in its proprietary polymer technologies, which address specialized industrial needs. However, its outlook is contingent on scaling production, securing commercial partnerships, and navigating competitive pressures. The company’s focus on sustainable materials could resonate with evolving industry trends, but execution risks remain significant given its financial constraints.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount