investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of GoPro, Inc. (GPRO)

Previous Close$0.79
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.79

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

GoPro, Inc. operates in the consumer electronics industry, specializing in high-performance action cameras and accessories. The company generates revenue primarily through hardware sales, including its flagship HERO cameras, subscription services, and software solutions like the GoPro app. GoPro targets adventure enthusiasts, content creators, and professional athletes, leveraging its brand recognition for rugged, portable imaging devices. Despite competition from smartphones and low-cost alternatives, GoPro maintains a niche position with its durable, feature-rich products tailored for extreme conditions. The company also monetizes its user base through cloud storage and editing tools, though hardware remains its dominant revenue driver. GoPro's market position is challenged by commoditization in the camera sector, but its focus on durability and unique use cases provides differentiation. The company continues to explore growth in software and services to diversify beyond hardware reliance.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

GoPro reported revenue of $801.5 million for FY 2024, reflecting ongoing challenges in sustaining top-line growth. The company posted a net loss of $432.3 million, with diluted EPS of -$2.82, indicating persistent profitability struggles. Operating cash flow was negative at $125.1 million, exacerbated by weak earnings and working capital pressures. Capital expenditures remained modest at $4.0 million, suggesting limited near-term investment in growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

GoPro's negative earnings and cash flow underscore its inability to generate sustainable profits from core operations. The company's capital efficiency is strained, with significant losses eroding shareholder value. High operating costs relative to revenue further highlight inefficiencies, though minimal capex indicates a focus on cost containment. The lack of positive earnings power raises concerns about long-term viability without structural improvements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

GoPro's balance sheet shows $102.8 million in cash and equivalents against $122.2 million in total debt, indicating tight liquidity. The net debt position and recurring losses weaken financial flexibility, though the absence of dividends preserves cash. Shareholders' equity is likely under pressure given sustained losses, potentially limiting access to additional financing if operational trends do not improve.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

GoPro's revenue trajectory remains flat, with no clear growth catalysts evident. The company does not pay dividends, prioritizing cash preservation amid profitability challenges. Historical volatility in demand for action cameras suggests cyclical risks, with limited visibility into sustainable expansion. Subscriptions and software may offer incremental growth, but hardware dependence continues to dominate the business mix.

Valuation And Market Expectations

GoPro's market valuation likely reflects skepticism about its turnaround prospects, given consistent losses and competitive pressures. The absence of earnings complicates traditional valuation metrics, with investors potentially pricing in further downside risk. Market expectations appear muted, with little optimism for near-term operational improvements or margin recovery.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

GoPro's brand strength and product durability provide some differentiation, but these advantages have not translated into consistent profitability. The outlook remains uncertain, hinging on successful diversification into higher-margin services and cost discipline. Without meaningful revenue growth or margin expansion, the company faces significant challenges in stabilizing its financial position and restoring investor confidence.

Sources

GoPro 10-K (2024), company filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount