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Intrinsic ValueGlobal Water Resources, Inc. (GWR.TO)

Previous Close$17.84
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$17.84

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Global Water Resources, Inc. operates as a regulated water utility company, specializing in water, wastewater, and recycled water services in metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona. The company serves a critical infrastructure role, managing water resources for approximately 74,048 people across 27,630 homes. Its business model is anchored in long-term regulatory contracts, ensuring stable revenue streams through rate-regulated services. As a niche player in the water utility sector, Global Water Resources benefits from high barriers to entry due to stringent environmental regulations and capital-intensive infrastructure requirements. The company’s focus on sustainable water management and recycled water systems positions it favorably in a region prone to water scarcity, enhancing its competitive edge. Its localized operations allow for efficient service delivery and cost control, while its regulatory framework provides predictable cash flows, making it a resilient operator in the utilities sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Global Water Resources reported revenue of CAD 41.9 million, with net income of CAD 3.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 8.6%. The company generated CAD 20.4 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating strong cash conversion from operations. Capital expenditures totaled CAD 18.3 million, indicating ongoing investments in infrastructure to support service reliability and regulatory compliance.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS stood at CAD 0.16, supported by its regulated revenue model. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures suggests disciplined capital allocation, with reinvestment needs balanced against cash generation. The utility’s asset-heavy model requires sustained capital outlays, but its regulated returns provide stability in earnings power over the long term.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Global Water Resources maintained CAD 12.6 million in cash and equivalents, against total debt of CAD 112.9 million. The debt level reflects the capital-intensive nature of the business, though its regulated cash flows mitigate refinancing risks. The balance sheet remains structured to support ongoing infrastructure investments while maintaining liquidity.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth is tied to regulatory rate adjustments and organic customer additions in its service areas. It paid a dividend of CAD 0.4 per share, aligning with its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Future growth may hinge on expansion opportunities within Arizona or adjacent regions, though its focus remains on optimizing existing operations.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CAD 416.9 million and a beta of 0.72, Global Water Resources is perceived as a lower-risk utility stock. Its valuation reflects the stability of regulated cash flows, though growth prospects are tempered by its regional focus and regulatory constraints.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company’s strategic advantages include its regulated monopoly status, focus on water sustainability, and efficient operational footprint. Long-term prospects are supported by increasing water scarcity concerns in the Southwest U.S., though regulatory risks and climate-related challenges remain key considerations. Its ability to adapt to evolving environmental policies will be critical for sustained performance.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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