investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueHORNBACH Holding AG & Co. KGaA (HBH3.SW)

Previous CloseCHF54.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF54.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

HORNBACH Holding AG & Co. KGaA is a leading European player in the home improvement retail sector, operating a network of 165 DIY megastores and garden centers across Germany and eight other European countries. The company’s revenue model is anchored in both brick-and-mortar retail and e-commerce, offering approximately 50,000 products spanning hardware, construction materials, sanitary ware, and garden supplies. Its stores cater to both DIY enthusiasts and professional contractors, supported by specialized advisory services for complex projects like shell construction and landscaping. HORNBACH differentiates itself through its megastore format, which combines extensive product assortments with competitive pricing, while its online platform complements physical stores for omnichannel convenience. The company’s market position is reinforced by its strong presence in Germany, where it operates nearly 100 stores, and its strategic expansion into Central and Eastern Europe. Despite intense competition from global rivals like Bauhaus and OBI, HORNBACH maintains a loyal customer base through its focus on affordability, product depth, and service quality. Its real estate development arm further stabilizes earnings by generating rental income from retail properties.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

HORNBACH reported revenue of €6.16 billion for the fiscal year ending February 2024, reflecting its scale in the European home improvement market. Net income stood at €125.1 million, with diluted EPS of €7.83, indicating moderate profitability amid inflationary pressures. Operating cash flow of €454.9 million underscores solid operational efficiency, though capital expenditures of €152 million highlight ongoing investments in store upgrades and digital capabilities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its diversified revenue streams, including retail sales, professional services, and property rentals. Its capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate consistent cash flow, though the net income margin of approximately 2% suggests competitive pricing dynamics and cost pressures in the sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

HORNBACH’s balance sheet shows €370.3 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of €1.57 billion, indicating a leveraged but manageable position. The debt level reflects investments in store networks and real estate, with liquidity supported by robust operating cash flow. The company’s financial health appears stable, though further debt reduction could improve flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth has been steady, driven by store expansions and e-commerce adoption, though macroeconomic headwinds may temper near-term performance. The dividend payout of €4.64 per share signals a commitment to shareholder returns, with a yield likely appealing to income-focused investors given the company’s stable cash generation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €873 million and a beta of 1.38, HORNBACH is viewed as a moderately volatile play on European consumer cyclical trends. Valuation metrics suggest the market prices in cautious growth expectations, balancing its established market position against sector-wide margin pressures.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

HORNBACH’s strategic advantages lie in its extensive store network, omnichannel integration, and focus on cost-conscious consumers. The outlook remains tied to European DIY demand, with potential upside from digital adoption and professional segment growth. However, inflationary costs and competitive intensity warrant close monitoring.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount