investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueHORNBACH Baumarkt AG (HBM.DE)

Previous Close61.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
61.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

HORNBACH Baumarkt AG is a leading European DIY retail chain specializing in home improvement and garden products. The company operates a hybrid model combining large-format megastores with e-commerce platforms, serving both professional contractors and DIY enthusiasts. Its product portfolio spans hardware, construction materials, sanitary ware, and garden supplies, positioning it as a one-stop shop for home renovation needs. HORNBACH differentiates itself through its warehouse-style stores with extensive product depth and competitive pricing. The company maintains a strong presence in German-speaking markets while expanding across Central and Eastern Europe. Its real estate segment adds stability through property ownership and leasing operations. In a competitive sector dominated by players like Bauhaus and OBI, HORNBACH has carved out a niche with its customer-centric approach and operational efficiency. The company's multi-channel strategy and focus on sustainability initiatives enhance its market positioning in an industry increasingly shaped by digital transformation and eco-conscious consumers.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

HORNBACH generated €5.78 billion in revenue for the period, demonstrating resilience in a challenging retail environment. The company reported net income of €74.5 million, translating to diluted EPS of €2.34. Operating cash flow stood at €437.2 million, significantly higher than net income, indicating strong cash conversion. Capital expenditures of €134.4 million reflect ongoing investments in store maintenance and digital capabilities. The business maintains adequate liquidity with €338.8 million in cash equivalents.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's operating cash flow coverage of 2.4x net income suggests robust earnings quality. With a market capitalization of €1.55 billion and enterprise value influenced by €1.81 billion in total debt, HORNBACH demonstrates moderate leverage. The low beta of 0.26 indicates relative stability compared to broader markets, though this may reflect the defensive nature of home improvement retail during economic fluctuations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

HORNBACH's balance sheet shows €338.8 million in cash against €1.81 billion in total debt, resulting in a net debt position that warrants monitoring. The real estate holdings provide collateral value and rental income streams. The company's financial structure appears sustainable given its stable cash flows, though the debt load could limit flexibility during prolonged downturns in consumer spending.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a conservative dividend policy with €0.90 per share payout, representing a 38% payout ratio based on current EPS. Growth prospects appear moderate given market saturation in core markets, though e-commerce expansion and format innovations could drive incremental gains. The DIY sector benefits from secular trends in home improvement but remains sensitive to housing market cycles and discretionary spending patterns.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At current valuation levels, the market appears to price HORNBACH as a stable but slow-growth retailer. The P/E ratio derived from current metrics suggests investors expect modest earnings expansion. The stock's defensive characteristics and dividend yield may appeal to income-oriented investors, while growth investors might seek more dynamic sector opportunities.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

HORNBACH's key strengths lie in its established store network, multi-channel capabilities, and operational expertise in European DIY retail. Challenges include navigating inflationary pressures and competitive intensity. The outlook remains cautiously positive, with potential upside from market share gains and operational improvements offset by macroeconomic uncertainties. The company's long-term viability appears sound given its niche positioning and adaptable business model.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount