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Intrinsic ValueHelium Evolution Incorporated (HEVI.V)

Previous Close$0.13
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.13

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Helium Evolution Incorporated operates as a pure-play helium exploration and production company focused on developing its significant land position in southern Saskatchewan, Canada. The company's core revenue model centers on discovering, developing, and commercializing helium resources from its extensive acreage, which represents one of the largest dedicated helium land banks in North America. Helium Evolution leverages the unique geological characteristics of southern Saskatchewan, where helium is found in natural gas reservoirs, but the company specifically targets helium-rich formations while minimizing methane content. This strategic focus positions the company within the specialized industrial gases sector, catering to high-tech manufacturing, healthcare (MRI cooling), aerospace, and electronics industries where helium's unique properties are essential. As a junior exploration company, Helium Evolution's market position is defined by its early-mover advantage in a jurisdiction with established energy infrastructure and supportive regulatory frameworks, aiming to become a reliable North American supplier amid global supply constraints. The company's strategy involves methodical exploration, strategic partnerships, and eventual transition to production to capitalize on strong long-term helium pricing fundamentals driven by supply scarcity and critical industrial demand.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Helium Evolution remains in the pre-revenue development stage, reporting no revenue for the period as it focuses on exploration activities. The company reported a net loss of CAD 1.39 million, reflecting its investment in establishing its asset base and operational capabilities. Operating cash flow was negative CAD 729,000, while capital expenditures of CAD 1.93 million indicate active investment in helium exploration and land acquisition to advance its development timeline toward future production.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's current earnings power is not yet established, with diluted EPS of -CAD 0.0145 reflecting the pre-production phase of its business cycle. Capital efficiency metrics are primarily focused on exploration success and resource delineation rather than traditional returns, with investments directed toward proving the commercial viability of its helium assets. The negative cash flows are characteristic of junior resource companies advancing projects toward production readiness.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Helium Evolution maintains a clean balance sheet with CAD 3.83 million in cash and equivalents providing liquidity for near-term exploration programs. The company carries minimal debt of only CAD 22,000, resulting in a strong net cash position. This conservative financial structure supports the company's ability to fund initial development phases while seeking strategic partnerships or additional financing to advance larger-scale development projects.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is entirely focused on exploration success and progression toward commercial production, with no current dividend policy as all capital is reinvested in development. The company's growth trajectory depends on successful drilling results, resource quantification, and eventual production facility development. Market expansion opportunities exist through the strategic positioning to supply the North American helium market, which faces structural supply deficits and increasing demand from critical technology sectors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 23 million, the market valuation reflects speculative interest in the company's extensive land position and helium's strategic commodity characteristics. The beta of 1.33 indicates higher volatility than the broader market, typical of early-stage resource companies. Valuation metrics based on earnings or revenue are not applicable, with the market primarily assessing the potential value of undeveloped helium resources and exploration upside.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Helium Evolution's strategic advantages include its first-mover position in a helium-rich jurisdiction with existing infrastructure and its pure-play focus on a high-value specialty gas. The outlook is contingent on successful exploration outcomes and the ability to advance projects to production amid favorable helium market dynamics. Key challenges include execution risk in exploration programs and the capital requirements for development, balanced against the potential for significant value creation if commercial reserves are established.

Sources

Company financial statementsTSXV filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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