Fiscal year | | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 |
INCOME STATEMENT |
Revenue growth rate, % | | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
Revenue, $ | | 826 | 824 | 824 | 827 | 831 | 837 | 845 | 855 | 866 | 880 | 895 | 912 | 930 | 950 | 972 | 996 | 1022 | 1049 | 1079 | 1111 | 1144 | 1180 | 1218 | 1258 | 1301 |
Variable operating expenses, $m | | 165 | 165 | 165 | 165 | 166 | 167 | 169 | 171 | 173 | 176 | 179 | 182 | 186 | 190 | 194 | 199 | 204 | 210 | 216 | 222 | 229 | 236 | 244 | 252 | 260 |
Fixed operating expenses, $m | | 161 | 174 | 189 | 205 | 223 | 242 | 262 | 284 | 309 | 335 | 363 | 394 | 428 | 464 | 503 | 546 | 593 | 643 | 698 | 757 | 821 | 891 | 967 | 1049 | 1138 |
Total operating expenses, $m | | 326 | 339 | 354 | 370 | 389 | 409 | 431 | 455 | 482 | 511 | 542 | 576 | 614 | 654 | 697 | 745 | 797 | 853 | 914 | 979 | 1050 | 1127 | 1211 | 1301 | 1398 |
Operating income, $m | | 500 | 485 | 470 | 456 | 442 | 428 | 414 | 400 | 385 | 369 | 353 | 335 | 316 | 296 | 274 | 251 | 225 | 197 | 166 | 131 | 94 | 53 | 8 | -42 | -97 |
EBITDA, $m | | 500 | 485 | 470 | 456 | 442 | 428 | 414 | 400 | 385 | 369 | 353 | 335 | 316 | 296 | 274 | 251 | 225 | 197 | 166 | 131 | 94 | 53 | 8 | -42 | -97 |
Interest expense (income), $m | | 132 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 121 | 122 | 123 | 125 | 127 | 129 | 132 | 135 | 138 | 142 | 146 | 150 | 155 | 160 | 165 | 171 | 177 | 183 | 190 | 197 |
Earnings before tax, $m | | 368 | 365 | 351 | 337 | 322 | 307 | 292 | 276 | 260 | 242 | 223 | 203 | 181 | 158 | 132 | 105 | 75 | 42 | 6 | -34 | -77 | -124 | -176 | -232 | -295 |
Tax expense, $m | | 99 | 99 | 95 | 91 | 87 | 83 | 79 | 75 | 70 | 65 | 60 | 55 | 49 | 43 | 36 | 28 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Net income, $m | | 269 | 266 | 256 | 246 | 235 | 224 | 213 | 202 | 190 | 177 | 163 | 148 | 132 | 115 | 97 | 76 | 54 | 30 | 4 | -34 | -77 | -124 | -176 | -232 | -295 |
BALANCE SHEET |
Cash and short-term investments, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total assets, $m | | 6161 | 6147 | 6149 | 6167 | 6199 | 6245 | 6305 | 6378 | 6464 | 6563 | 6675 | 6800 | 6938 | 7089 | 7253 | 7431 | 7623 | 7829 | 8049 | 8285 | 8535 | 8802 | 9086 | 9387 | 9705 |
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m | | 6161 | 6147 | 6149 | 6167 | 6199 | 6245 | 6305 | 6378 | 6464 | 6563 | 6675 | 6800 | 6938 | 7089 | 7253 | 7431 | 7623 | 7829 | 8049 | 8285 | 8535 | 8802 | 9086 | 9387 | 9705 |
Average production assets, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Working capital, $m | | 202 | 202 | 202 | 203 | 204 | 205 | 207 | 209 | 212 | 216 | 219 | 223 | 228 | 233 | 238 | 244 | 250 | 257 | 264 | 272 | 280 | 289 | 298 | 308 | 319 |
Total debt, $m | | 2996 | 2988 | 2989 | 3000 | 3019 | 3047 | 3082 | 3126 | 3178 | 3237 | 3305 | 3380 | 3462 | 3553 | 3652 | 3758 | 3873 | 3997 | 4129 | 4270 | 4421 | 4581 | 4751 | 4931 | 5123 |
Total liabilities, $m | | 3697 | 3688 | 3690 | 3700 | 3719 | 3747 | 3783 | 3827 | 3878 | 3938 | 4005 | 4080 | 4163 | 4253 | 4352 | 4459 | 4574 | 4697 | 4830 | 4971 | 5121 | 5281 | 5452 | 5632 | 5823 |
Total equity, $m | | 2464 | 2459 | 2460 | 2467 | 2480 | 2498 | 2522 | 2551 | 2586 | 2625 | 2670 | 2720 | 2775 | 2836 | 2901 | 2973 | 3049 | 3132 | 3220 | 3314 | 3414 | 3521 | 3634 | 3755 | 3882 |
Debt-to-equity ratio | | 1.336 | 1.218 | 1.215 | 1.212 | 1.210 | 1.208 | 1.208 | 1.208 | 1.209 | 1.211 | 1.212 | 1.215 | 1.218 | 1.221 | 1.225 | 1.228 | 1.233 | 1.237 | 1.241 | 1.246 | 1.251 | 1.256 | 1.260 | 1.265 | 1.270 |
Adjusted equity ratio | | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 |
CASH FLOW |
Net income, $m | | 269 | 266 | 256 | 246 | 235 | 224 | 213 | 202 | 190 | 177 | 163 | 148 | 132 | 115 | 97 | 76 | 54 | 30 | 4 | -34 | -77 | -124 | -176 | -232 | -295 |
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Funds from operations, $m | | 269 | 266 | 256 | 246 | 235 | 224 | 213 | 202 | 190 | 177 | 163 | 148 | 132 | 115 | 97 | 76 | 54 | 30 | 4 | -34 | -77 | -124 | -176 | -232 | -295 |
Change in working capital, $m | | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Cash from operations, $m | | 270 | 267 | 256 | 245 | 234 | 223 | 211 | 199 | 187 | 173 | 159 | 144 | 128 | 110 | 91 | 71 | 48 | 24 | -3 | -41 | -85 | -133 | -185 | -242 | -305 |
Maintenance CAPEX, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
New CAPEX, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total CAPEX, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Free cash flow, $m | | 270 | 267 | 256 | 245 | 234 | 223 | 211 | 199 | 187 | 173 | 159 | 144 | 128 | 110 | 91 | 71 | 48 | 24 | -3 | -41 | -85 | -133 | -185 | -242 | -305 |
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 59 | 91 | 136 | 185 | 240 | 298 | 363 | 433 |
Retained Cash Flow, $m | | 60 | 6 | -1 | -7 | -13 | -18 | -24 | -29 | -34 | -40 | -45 | -50 | -55 | -60 | -66 | -71 | -77 | -82 | -88 | -94 | -100 | -107 | -113 | -120 | -127 |
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m | | -163 |
Cash available for distribution, $m | | 155 | 271 | 255 | 238 | 221 | 204 | 187 | 170 | 152 | 134 | 114 | 94 | 73 | 50 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Discount rate, % | | 5.50 | 5.78 | 6.06 | 6.37 | 6.69 | 7.02 | 7.37 | 7.74 | 8.13 | 8.53 | 8.96 | 9.41 | 9.88 | 10.37 | 10.89 | 11.43 | 12.01 | 12.61 | 13.24 | 13.90 | 14.59 | 15.32 | 16.09 | 16.89 | 17.74 |
PV of cash for distribution, $m | | 147 | 243 | 214 | 186 | 160 | 136 | 114 | 94 | 75 | 59 | 45 | 32 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current shareholders' claim on cash, % | | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 99 | 98 | 96 | 93 | 89 | 84 | 79 | 74 | 68 |