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Intrinsic Value of H World Group Limited (HTHT)

Previous Close$33.30
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$33.30

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

H World Group Limited operates as a leading global hospitality company, primarily focused on the mid-scale and economy hotel segments. The company generates revenue through a mix of leased, franchised, and managed hotel models, with a strong emphasis on asset-light expansion. Its portfolio includes well-known brands such as HanTing, Hi Inn, and Orange Hotel, catering to both business and leisure travelers across China and select international markets. H World has established a dominant position in China's fragmented hotel industry, leveraging its extensive network and operational efficiency to capture market share. The company benefits from rising domestic travel demand and urbanization trends, while its franchising strategy minimizes capital intensity. H World competes with international chains like Marriott and domestic players such as Jin Jiang Hotels, differentiating itself through localized service offerings and cost leadership.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, H World reported revenue of RMB 23.89 billion, with net income reaching RMB 3.05 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 12.8%. The company demonstrated strong cash flow generation, with operating cash flow of RMB 7.52 billion, supporting its capital allocation strategy. Capital expenditures were limited to RMB 898 million, consistent with its asset-light approach and focus on franchising.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

H World's diluted EPS stood at RMB 93, underscoring its earnings power amid industry recovery. The company maintains disciplined capital efficiency, with a focus on high-return franchised and managed hotels. Its operating cash flow comfortably covers debt service obligations, while strategic reinvestment supports sustainable growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

As of FY 2024, H World held RMB 7.47 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of RMB 35.45 billion. The elevated debt level reflects expansion financing, but strong cash flow generation mitigates liquidity risks. The balance sheet remains manageable given the company's recurring revenue streams and asset-light model.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

H World has consistently expanded its hotel network, benefiting from post-pandemic travel recovery. The company declared a dividend of RMB 1.6 per share, signaling confidence in its cash flow stability. Growth is expected to remain driven by domestic market penetration and selective international franchising.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market appears to price H World on a growth trajectory, with expectations of continued market share gains in China's consolidating hotel industry. Valuation multiples reflect optimism around its asset-light model and margin expansion potential as operating leverage improves.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

H World's scalable franchise platform, brand diversity, and operational expertise position it well for long-term growth. Near-term challenges include macroeconomic sensitivity, but structural demand for affordable lodging supports a positive outlook. The company's focus on digital integration and customer loyalty programs further strengthens its competitive moat.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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