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Intrinsic Value of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (HWBK)

Previous Close$29.14
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$29.14

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company primarily serving commercial and retail customers in Missouri through its subsidiary, Hawthorn Bank. The company generates revenue through traditional banking activities, including interest income from loans and investments, as well as fee-based services such as wealth management and treasury solutions. Its market position is anchored in community banking, emphasizing personalized customer relationships and localized decision-making, which differentiates it from larger regional and national competitors. Hawthorn Bancshares focuses on small to mid-sized businesses, agricultural clients, and retail depositors, leveraging its regional expertise to maintain competitive loan pricing and deposit gathering. The bank’s conservative underwriting and strong local presence contribute to stable asset quality and customer retention. While it faces competition from both community banks and larger financial institutions, its niche focus on relationship banking provides a defensible market position in its core geographies.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Hawthorn Bancshares reported revenue of $71.9 million, with net income of $18.3 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 25.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.61, indicating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was $25.6 million, supported by steady interest income and disciplined expense management. Capital expenditures of $3.0 million suggest moderate reinvestment in infrastructure and technology to sustain operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by its loan portfolio and deposit franchise, with net interest margin stability being a key focus. Capital efficiency appears adequate, given its ROA and ROE metrics implied by the reported net income and equity base. The bank’s ability to generate consistent cash flow underscores its capacity to fund growth and shareholder returns without excessive leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hawthorn Bancshares maintains a conservative balance sheet, with $51.0 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $132.7 million. The debt level appears manageable relative to its equity and earnings capacity. The bank’s liquidity position and loan-to-deposit ratio suggest prudent risk management, though further details on asset quality would provide deeper insight into credit risk exposure.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends appear modest, aligned with the company’s community banking focus. The dividend payout of $0.76 per share reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, with a payout ratio of approximately 29% based on diluted EPS. This balanced approach supports investor confidence while retaining earnings for organic expansion or strategic initiatives.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The bank’s valuation likely reflects its regional focus and steady profitability. Market expectations may center on its ability to maintain net interest margins amid rate fluctuations and its capacity to grow loans without compromising credit quality. Comparative analysis with peer community banks would provide additional context for relative valuation multiples.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Hawthorn Bancshares’ strategic advantages include its localized customer relationships and conservative risk profile. The outlook remains stable, assuming continued execution on core banking activities and disciplined expense control. Potential risks include interest rate volatility and competitive pressures, but the bank’s niche positioning provides resilience. Long-term success will depend on balancing growth with asset quality preservation.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0000893847), reported financials for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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