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Intrinsic Valuei3 Energy Plc (I3E.L)

Previous Close£12.74
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£12.74

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

i3 Energy Plc operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company, focusing on assets in the UK and Canada. Its core revenue model is driven by hydrocarbon production from its diversified portfolio, including the Liberator and Serenity oil fields in the UK North Sea and multiple working interests in Alberta’s prolific basins. The company emphasizes low-cost operations and strategic acquisitions to sustain cash flow, targeting near-term production growth while maintaining fiscal discipline. i3 Energy differentiates itself through a balanced mix of development and production assets, leveraging operational expertise in both conventional and unconventional plays. Its market position is that of a nimble, growth-oriented independent, capitalizing on mid-tier opportunities often overlooked by larger competitors. The company’s focus on shareholder returns, including a structured dividend policy, aligns with its strategy to balance reinvestment and distributions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, i3 Energy reported revenue of £146.3 million, with net income of £15.1 million, reflecting the impact of commodity price volatility and operational execution. The diluted EPS of 1.24p indicates modest profitability, while operating cash flow of £49.6 million underscores its ability to fund operations. Capital expenditures of £24.4 million suggest disciplined reinvestment, prioritizing high-return projects.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by stable production and cost management, though its capital efficiency is tempered by exploration risks. Operating cash flow coverage of capex (2.0x) demonstrates sustainable reinvestment capacity, while its dividend payout ratio remains conservative, preserving flexibility for growth initiatives.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

i3 Energy maintains a manageable leverage profile, with total debt of £34.6 million against cash reserves of £23.5 million. The balance sheet reflects a net debt position of £11.1 million, indicating moderate financial risk. Liquidity appears adequate, supported by operating cash flows and a focus on deleveraging.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company targets organic growth through development drilling and selective acquisitions, with dividends of 1.026p per share signaling a commitment to shareholder returns. Production trends and reserve additions will be critical to sustaining its dividend policy amid fluctuating oil prices.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of £153.2 million, i3 Energy trades at a discount to peers, reflecting its smaller scale and exploration risks. The low beta (0.25) suggests relative insulation from broad market volatility, though oil price sensitivity remains a key factor.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

i3 Energy’s strategic advantages include geographic diversification, operational agility, and a disciplined capital allocation framework. The outlook hinges on execution in core assets and commodity price stability, with potential upside from exploration success and accretive deals.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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