investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueUniversal Ibogaine Inc. (IBO.V)

Previous Close$0.01
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.01

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Universal Ibogaine Inc. operates as a specialized life sciences company focused on developing innovative addiction treatment solutions through clinical research and clinic operations. The company's core strategy involves advancing ibogaine-based therapies, a psychoactive substance derived from plants, for treating various substance dependencies. Its business model combines clinical trial research with the potential operation of treatment facilities, positioning it within the emerging psychedelic-assisted therapy sector of biotechnology. The company aims to establish itself as a pioneer in evidence-based addiction treatments by leveraging ibogaine's unique properties, which preliminary research suggests may help interrupt addiction patterns. Operating primarily in Canada, Universal Ibogaine targets the growing global addiction treatment market, competing against both conventional pharmaceutical approaches and other emerging psychedelic therapies. Its market position remains early-stage, focused on research validation before potential commercial scaling of treatment protocols and clinic networks.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CAD 1.07 million in revenue during FY2022 while reporting a significant net loss of CAD 10.5 million, reflecting its early-stage research and development focus. Operating cash flow was negative CAD 4.33 million, indicating substantial cash consumption from clinical development activities. The negative earnings per share of CAD 0.0565 demonstrates the current pre-revenue phase typical of biotechnology companies investing heavily in research before achieving commercial scalability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Universal Ibogaine's current earnings power remains constrained by its developmental stage, with capital primarily directed toward clinical research rather than revenue generation. The company's negative operating cash flow and substantial net loss reflect significant investment in ibogaine research and treatment protocol development. Capital efficiency metrics are challenging to assess given the pre-commercial nature of its operations, with success dependent on clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintained CAD 726,047 in cash and equivalents against total debt of CAD 1.74 million as of July 2022. This liquidity position, combined with negative operating cash flow, suggests the need for additional financing to sustain ongoing research activities. The balance sheet structure is characteristic of early-stage biotech companies, with financial health contingent on successful capital raising and research milestones.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

As a development-stage company, Universal Ibogaine does not pay dividends, reinvesting all capital into research and clinical operations. Growth is measured through research milestones rather than traditional financial metrics, with the company focused on advancing its ibogaine treatment protocols through clinical trials. The path to commercialization remains dependent on regulatory approvals and successful trial outcomes, creating binary growth prospects typical of early-stage biotech ventures.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 2.94 million, the market appears to assign modest value to the company's ibogaine research platform. The exceptionally high beta of 6.026 reflects extreme volatility and sensitivity to clinical development news. Valuation metrics based on current financials are not meaningful given the pre-revenue status, with market expectations heavily weighted toward potential clinical success rather than current operations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its specialized focus on ibogaine research for addiction treatment, a niche with limited competition but significant regulatory hurdles. The outlook remains highly speculative, dependent on clinical trial results, regulatory approvals, and successful capital raising. Success would require demonstrating ibogaine's safety and efficacy through rigorous clinical research while navigating complex regulatory pathways for psychedelic-assisted therapies.

Sources

Company financial statementsTSXV filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount