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Intrinsic Value of Canlan Ice Sports Corp. (ICE.TO)

Previous Close$4.30
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$4.30

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Canlan Ice Sports Corp. operates as a niche player in the leisure sector, specializing in multi-purpose recreation and entertainment facilities across North America. The company generates revenue through a diversified model, including ice and field rentals, internal programming, restaurant operations, retail sports stores, sponsorships, and facility management services. Its core business revolves around providing ice time for hockey and skating, supplemented by turf fields and multi-sport courts, catering to both amateur and professional athletes. Canlan’s market position is strengthened by its ownership and management of 18 facilities, making it one of the largest operators in its segment. The company’s integrated approach—combining sports infrastructure with ancillary services like retail and dining—enhances customer retention and revenue streams. While competition exists from municipal rinks and private sports complexes, Canlan differentiates itself through scale, professional-grade facilities, and value-added services. The company’s subsidiary status under Bartrac Investments Ltd. provides stability, though its growth is closely tied to regional demand for recreational sports and discretionary spending trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Canlan reported revenue of CAD 94.0 million for the latest fiscal period, with net income of CAD 2.8 million, reflecting a modest but stable profitability margin. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 13.8 million, indicating efficient cash generation from core operations. Capital expenditures of CAD 6.9 million suggest ongoing investments in facility maintenance and upgrades, which are critical for sustaining revenue streams. The company’s ability to balance reinvestment with profitability underscores its operational discipline.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of CAD 0.21 highlights the company’s earnings power relative to its share count. The relatively low beta of 0.391 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, aligning with its steady cash flow profile. Canlan’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate positive operating cash flow while managing debt and maintaining liquidity, though its growth prospects are tempered by the capital-intensive nature of facility operations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Canlan maintains a solid liquidity position with CAD 21.2 million in cash and equivalents, against total debt of CAD 48.5 million. The debt level is manageable given the company’s cash flow generation and asset base. The balance sheet reflects a conservative approach, with no significant near-term refinancing risks. However, the capital-intensive model requires careful debt management to avoid overleveraging in cyclical downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is likely tied to facility utilization rates and expansion into new markets, though the company’s asset-heavy model limits rapid scalability. A dividend of CAD 0.12 per share indicates a commitment to shareholder returns, albeit with a modest yield. The dividend policy appears sustainable given current earnings and cash flow, but future increases may depend on organic growth and operational efficiency gains.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 49.6 million, the company trades at a modest valuation, reflecting its niche market position and growth constraints. Investors likely price in steady but unspectacular performance, given the cyclicality of leisure spending and operational leverage. The low beta suggests the stock is viewed as a defensive play within the consumer cyclical sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Canlan’s strategic advantages lie in its scaled infrastructure, diversified revenue streams, and entrenched market position. The outlook is stable, with growth contingent on facility utilization and potential acquisitions. Macroeconomic factors, such as disposable income trends and sports participation rates, will influence performance. The company’s ability to adapt to post-pandemic recreational demand will be critical for sustaining its competitive edge.

Sources

Company filings, TSX disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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