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Intrinsic Value of ICL Group Ltd (ICL)

Previous Close$7.07
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$7.07

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

ICL Group Ltd operates as a global specialty minerals and chemicals company, serving diverse industries such as agriculture, food, and industrial applications. The company generates revenue through three primary segments: Industrial Products, Potash, and Phosphate Solutions. ICL’s core offerings include fertilizers, flame retardants, and specialty minerals, positioning it as a critical supplier in agricultural productivity and industrial safety. The company leverages its vertically integrated operations to maintain cost efficiency and supply chain resilience. ICL holds a strong market position in potash and bromine derivatives, benefiting from high barriers to entry and long-term customer relationships. Its diversified product portfolio mitigates sector-specific risks while capitalizing on global demand for sustainable agricultural inputs and advanced materials. The company’s strategic focus on innovation and environmental solutions further enhances its competitive edge in niche markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ICL reported revenue of $6.84 billion for the period, with net income of $407 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 6%. Operating cash flow stood at $1.47 billion, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures totaled $713 million, underscoring ongoing investments in operational capacity and efficiency. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash highlights disciplined cost management and operational execution.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of $0.32 demonstrates ICL’s earnings power, supported by stable demand for its core products. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund growth initiatives while maintaining profitability. Operating cash flow significantly exceeds net income, suggesting strong non-cash adjustments and working capital management, which bolsters reinvestment potential and shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ICL’s balance sheet shows $327 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $2.29 billion, indicating a manageable leverage position. The company’s liquidity is supported by healthy operating cash flow, providing flexibility to meet obligations and pursue strategic opportunities. Debt levels appear sustainable given the stable cash flow profile and asset-backed nature of its operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

ICL has demonstrated consistent growth in key markets, driven by demand for agricultural inputs and specialty chemicals. The company’s dividend per share of $0.18756 reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining funds for growth. Future trends may benefit from global focus on food security and sustainable industrial solutions, positioning ICL for steady expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values ICL based on its stable cash flows and niche market positioning. Trading multiples may reflect expectations of moderate growth, balanced by cyclical exposure to commodity prices. Investor sentiment could be influenced by the company’s ability to maintain margins amid input cost volatility and geopolitical factors affecting global trade.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ICL’s strategic advantages include its diversified product portfolio, vertical integration, and strong R&D capabilities. The outlook remains positive, supported by long-term trends in agriculture and industrial demand. Risks include commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes, but the company’s adaptive business model positions it well to navigate challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0000941221

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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