investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Immutep Limited (IMMP)

Previous Close$1.65
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.65

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Immutep Limited is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel immunotherapies for cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company’s core revenue model is driven by strategic collaborations, licensing agreements, and grants, as its lead product candidates, including eftilagimod alpha (efti), are still in clinical trials. Immutep operates in the highly competitive biopharmaceutical sector, where innovation and clinical validation are critical to securing market share. The company’s differentiated approach leverages LAG-3 biology, positioning it as a potential leader in next-generation immuno-oncology therapies. With partnerships extending across global pharmaceutical players, Immutep aims to capitalize on the growing demand for targeted cancer treatments. Its pipeline targets high-need indications such as metastatic breast cancer and non-small cell lung cancer, areas with significant unmet medical needs. The company’s market position is bolstered by its intellectual property portfolio and ongoing clinical advancements, though commercialization risks remain inherent to its pre-revenue stage.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Immutep reported revenue of $3.8 million for the fiscal year ending June 2024, primarily derived from collaboration agreements and grants. The company posted a net loss of $42.7 million, reflecting its heavy investment in clinical development. Operating cash flow was negative $34.8 million, while capital expenditures were modest at $0.9 million, underscoring its focus on R&D over physical infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS stood at -$0.36, indicative of its pre-commercialization phase. Immutep’s capital efficiency is constrained by its reliance on external funding to sustain clinical trials, though its $161.8 million cash reserve provides a runway for near-term operations. The minimal debt of $1.6 million suggests a low leverage risk, aligning with its growth-stage profile.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Immutep maintains a strong liquidity position with $161.8 million in cash and equivalents, providing a cushion for ongoing R&D activities. Total debt is negligible at $1.6 million, resulting in a robust net cash position. The balance sheet reflects a clinical-stage biotech structure, with assets primarily allocated to funding future trials rather than tangible operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is contingent on clinical milestones, with no near-term revenue diversification beyond partnerships. The company does not pay dividends, reinvesting all available capital into pipeline advancement. Investor returns are tied to long-term therapeutic success, with key catalysts including Phase II/III trial readouts for efti in various oncology indications.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market valuation hinges on clinical progress, given Immutep’s lack of profitability. The stock’s performance is likely driven by trial updates and partnership announcements rather than traditional financial metrics. Investors appear to price in potential upside from efti’s regulatory and commercial prospects, though volatility is expected given the binary nature of biotech outcomes.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Immutep’s strategic edge lies in its LAG-3-focused pipeline and collaborative partnerships, which mitigate some development risks. The outlook remains speculative, dependent on clinical data and regulatory approvals. Success in pivotal trials could position the company for licensing deals or acquisitions, while setbacks may necessitate additional funding rounds. The long-term potential is significant but uncertain.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount