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Intrinsic Value of Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. (INN)

Previous Close$5.40
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.40

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $Initial revenue growth rate, %Variable cost ratio, %Fixed operating exp., mln $Prod. assets / Revenue, %Working capital / Revenue, %Interest rate on debt, %Initial discount rate, %Shares outstanding, mlnAdjusted equity ratioAdjusted assets / RevenueCash & ST InvestmentsTotal debt

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of 2024-12-31.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-0.6-0.3-0.10.20.40.70.91.11.31.51.61.82.02.12.32.42.52.72.82.93.03.13.23.33.4
Revenue, $7277257257267297347417497587697827968128298488698919149409679961026105910941131
Variable operating expenses, $m463461461462464467471476482489497506516527539552566581598615633653674696719
Fixed operating expenses, $m177192208226245266289313340369400434471511555602653708769834905982106511561254
Total operating expenses, $m640653669688709733760789822858897940987103810941154121912891367144915381635173918521973
Operating income, $m88725538201-19-41-64-89-115-144-175-209-246-286-329-376-427-482-542-608-680-757-842
EBITDA, $m95796245278-12-34-57-82-108-137-168-202-238-278-321-367-418-473-533-599-670-748-832
Interest expense (income), $m57249249249249249250250251251252253254255256258259261262264266268270273275
Earnings before tax, $m31-177-193-211-229-248-269-291-314-340-368-397-429-464-502-543-588-636-689-746-808-876-950-1030-1117
Tax expense, $m8000000000000000000000000
Net income, $m23-177-193-211-229-248-269-291-314-340-368-397-429-464-502-543-588-636-689-746-808-876-950-1030-1117

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m0000000000000000000000000
Total assets, $m1433142814281430143714461459147514941516154115691600163416711711175418011851190519612022208721552228
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1433142814281430143714461459147514941516154115691600163416711711175418011851190519612022208721552228
Average production assets, $m34343434343535353636373738394041424344454748505153
Working capital, $m-53-53-53-53-53-54-54-55-55-56-57-58-59-61-62-63-65-67-69-71-73-75-77-80-83
Total debt, $m6226622262226224623062386250626462816301632463496377640764416477651665586603665167026757681568766942
Total liabilities, $m1290128612851287129313021313132713451364138714121440147015041540157916211666171417651820187819402005
Total equity, $m143143143143144145146147149152154157160163167171175180185190196202209216223
Debt-to-equity ratio9.92143.59143.58643.49443.32243.07442.75642.37341.93141.43640.89340.30839.68539.02938.34737.64136.91636.17735.42734.66933.90733.14332.38131.62230.869
Adjusted equity ratio0.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m23-177-193-211-229-248-269-291-314-340-368-397-429-464-502-543-588-636-689-746-808-876-950-1030-1117
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m7777777777777888889999101010
Funds from operations, $m29-170-187-204-222-241-262-284-307-333-360-390-422-457-494-535-580-628-680-737-799-867-940-1020-1107
Change in working capital, $m0000000-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3-3
Cash from operations, $m29-170-187-204-222-241-261-283-307-332-359-389-421-455-493-534-578-626-678-735-797-865-938-1018-1104
Maintenance CAPEX, $m-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-8-8-8-8-8-9-9-9-9-10-10-10
New CAPEX, $m000000000-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-2-2-2
Total CAPEX, $m-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-7-8-8-8-8-8-9-9-9-9-10-10-10-11-11-12-12
Free cash flow, $m22-177-193-211-229-248-269-291-314-340-367-397-429-464-502-543-587-636-688-745-808-875-949-1029-1116
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m017719321122924927029231634237040043246750554759264069375181388195510361124
Retained Cash Flow, $m-1985000-1-1-1-2-2-2-2-3-3-3-4-4-4-5-5-5-6-6-6-7-7
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2751
Cash available for distribution, $m788000000000000000000000000
Discount rate, %4.905.155.405.675.966.256.576.897.247.607.988.388.809.249.7010.1910.7011.2311.7912.3813.0013.6514.3315.0515.80
PV of cash for distribution, $m752000000000000000000000000
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %10036124100000000000000000000