investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueJohnson & Johnson (JNJ.DE)

Previous Close190.54
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
190.54

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Johnson & Johnson operates as a diversified healthcare leader with three core segments: Consumer Health, Pharmaceuticals, and MedTech. The company’s Consumer Health division focuses on over-the-counter products, including baby care, oral care, and skin health brands like NEUTROGENA and LISTERINE, serving retail consumers globally. Its Pharmaceutical segment develops and markets treatments for chronic diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, oncology, and infectious diseases, targeting hospitals and healthcare providers. The MedTech segment offers advanced surgical, orthopedic, and vision care solutions, including ACUVUE contact lenses and electrophysiology devices, positioning J&J as a key innovator in medical technology. With a legacy dating back to 1886, the company maintains a strong competitive edge through R&D investments, global distribution, and trusted brand recognition. Its diversified portfolio mitigates sector-specific risks while reinforcing its dominance in both developed and emerging healthcare markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Johnson & Johnson reported EUR 88.8 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of EUR 14.1 billion, reflecting a robust but moderated profitability margin. Operating cash flow stood at EUR 24.3 billion, underscoring efficient cash generation, while capital expenditures of EUR 4.4 billion indicate sustained investment in innovation and infrastructure. The company’s diversified revenue streams contribute to stable financial performance despite sector-specific headwinds.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of EUR 5.79 demonstrates J&J’s ability to translate top-line growth into shareholder returns. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its disciplined R&D and operational spending, balancing reinvestment with profitability. Strong cash flow generation supports both organic growth and strategic acquisitions, reinforcing its competitive positioning in high-margin therapeutic areas.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

J&J maintains a solid balance sheet with EUR 24.1 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for strategic initiatives. Total debt of EUR 36.6 billion is manageable given its cash flow and market position. The company’s financial health is further supported by its investment-grade credit rating and ability to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has a history of steady growth, driven by pharmaceutical innovations and MedTech advancements. A dividend of EUR 3.57 per share reflects J&J’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders, supported by a resilient cash flow profile. Future growth is expected to stem from pipeline developments and expansion in emerging markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of EUR 323.6 billion and a beta of 0.41, J&J is viewed as a stable, low-volatility investment. The valuation reflects its defensive positioning in healthcare, though investor expectations hinge on successful pipeline execution and margin sustainability in a competitive landscape.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

J&J’s strategic advantages include its diversified portfolio, strong R&D pipeline, and global scale. The outlook remains positive, with growth likely driven by pharmaceutical innovations and MedTech adoption. However, regulatory pressures and pricing dynamics in key markets pose potential challenges. The company’s long-term focus on high-growth therapeutic areas positions it well for sustained performance.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount