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Intrinsic Value of KB Home (KBH)

Previous Close$55.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$55.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

KB Home operates as a leading homebuilder in the U.S., specializing in the design, construction, and sale of single-family homes. The company primarily targets first-time and move-up homebuyers, offering customizable floor plans and energy-efficient features. KB Home differentiates itself through its Built-to-Order model, allowing buyers to personalize homes during construction. The company operates in high-growth markets, including the West Coast, Southwest, and Southeast, leveraging demographic trends and housing demand. KB Home competes with national and regional builders, maintaining a strong brand reputation for quality and sustainability. Its focus on affordability and buyer preferences positions it well in cyclical housing markets, though it remains sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and economic conditions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

KB Home reported revenue of $6.93 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $655 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 9.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $8.45, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was $362.7 million, while capital expenditures totaled $39.3 million, indicating disciplined capital allocation. The company’s efficiency metrics suggest effective cost management, though its operating cash flow could face pressure from cyclical housing demand.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its ability to maintain healthy margins despite macroeconomic headwinds. KB Home’s capital efficiency is evident in its prudent investment in growth, with a focus on inventory turnover and working capital management. The Built-to-Order model reduces speculative inventory risk, enhancing return on invested capital. However, leverage and interest rate exposure remain key considerations for sustained earnings stability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

KB Home’s balance sheet shows $599.2 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $1.71 billion, indicating moderate leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests manageable financial obligations, supported by steady cash generation. Liquidity appears sufficient to navigate cyclical downturns, though refinancing risks persist in a rising-rate environment. The company’s financial health is stable, with adequate coverage ratios and no immediate solvency concerns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

KB Home has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, driven by strategic market positioning and housing demand. The company pays a dividend of $1 per share, reflecting a conservative payout ratio and commitment to shareholder returns. Future growth hinges on regional housing trends, affordability dynamics, and execution of its land acquisition strategy. Dividend sustainability appears strong, though reinvestment in growth may take precedence over aggressive increases.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values KB Home at a P/E multiple reflective of its cyclical industry, with investors pricing in moderate growth expectations. Comparables suggest the stock trades in line with peers, accounting for its margin profile and market share. Housing sector sentiment and interest rate trends remain pivotal to valuation, with upside potential tied to operational execution and macroeconomic stability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

KB Home’s strategic advantages include its customer-centric Built-to-Order model, energy-efficient offerings, and strong regional presence. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on housing shortages and demographic shifts, though macroeconomic volatility poses risks. Management’s focus on cost control and strategic land investments supports long-term resilience. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on sustained demand and manageable input cost inflation.

Sources

10-K filings, company investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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