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Intrinsic ValueKONE Oyj (KC4.DE)

Previous Close52.88
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
52.88

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

KONE Oyj operates as a global leader in the elevator and escalator industry, providing innovative vertical transportation solutions across residential, commercial, and infrastructure projects. The company generates revenue through a mix of equipment sales, maintenance contracts, and modernization services, ensuring recurring income streams. Its product portfolio includes smart solutions like KONE Office Flow and KONE Residential Flow, which integrate IoT and touch-free technologies to enhance user experience and operational efficiency. KONE holds a strong competitive position in urban mobility, supported by its focus on sustainability, digitalization, and energy-efficient solutions. The company serves a diverse clientele, leveraging its extensive service network and R&D capabilities to maintain technological leadership. With urbanization driving demand for smarter buildings, KONE is well-positioned to capitalize on long-term growth trends in high-density cities worldwide.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

KONE reported FY revenue of €11.1 billion, with net income of €951 million, reflecting an 8.6% net margin. Operating cash flow stood at €1.25 billion, supported by stable maintenance revenue and disciplined cost management. Capital expenditures of €168 million indicate moderate reinvestment needs, aligning with its asset-light service model. The company’s profitability is bolstered by high-margin service contracts, which account for a significant portion of recurring income.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of €1.84 underscores KONE’s earnings stability, driven by its diversified revenue base and operational leverage. The company maintains efficient capital deployment, with a focus on high-return service operations and strategic R&D investments. Its low beta of 0.59 suggests resilience to market volatility, supported by steady cash flows from long-term maintenance agreements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

KONE’s balance sheet remains robust, with €576 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of €846 million, reflecting a conservative leverage profile. The company’s strong liquidity position supports its dividend policy and growth initiatives, while its debt levels are manageable relative to its cash-generating capabilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Urbanization and smart city trends underpin KONE’s growth, with modernization and service demand offsetting cyclical equipment sales. The company pays a dividend of €1.75 per share, offering a yield of approximately 3.2%, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns. Future growth may hinge on expanding its digital solutions and emerging market penetration.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €27.3 billion, KONE trades at a P/E of ~29x, pricing in its premium positioning and stable cash flows. Investors likely anticipate mid-single-digit revenue growth, supported by its service backlog and technological edge in energy-efficient solutions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

KONE’s strengths lie in its global service network, innovation pipeline, and sustainability focus, which differentiate it in a competitive market. Challenges include macroeconomic sensitivity in construction cycles, but its recurring revenue model provides stability. The outlook remains positive, driven by urbanization and demand for smart, eco-friendly mobility solutions.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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