investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of The Coca-Cola Company (KO)

Previous Close$69.87
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$69.87

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

The Coca-Cola Company operates as a global beverage leader, dominating the non-alcoholic drink industry with a diversified portfolio of sparkling soft drinks, juices, waters, sports drinks, and ready-to-drink teas and coffees. Its revenue model is anchored in brand licensing, syrup sales to bottlers, and direct consumer sales through owned products. The company leverages an extensive distribution network spanning over 200 countries, supported by a franchise system with independent bottling partners. Coca-Cola maintains a formidable market position, underscored by iconic brands like Coca-Cola, Sprite, and Fanta, which enjoy unparalleled consumer loyalty and pricing power. The company strategically adapts to shifting consumer preferences by expanding into healthier options and low-sugar alternatives, while its marketing prowess and global scale create high barriers to entry for competitors. Its market leadership is further reinforced by strategic partnerships, sponsorships, and localized product innovations tailored to regional tastes.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Coca-Cola reported revenue of $47.1 billion, with net income reaching $10.6 billion, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 22.6%. The company generated $6.8 billion in operating cash flow, demonstrating strong cash conversion capabilities. Capital expenditures totaled $2.1 billion, indicating disciplined reinvestment in production and distribution infrastructure. These metrics highlight Coca-Cola's ability to maintain profitability while efficiently managing operational costs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Coca-Cola's diluted EPS of $2.46 underscores its earnings resilience, supported by pricing strategies and volume growth in key markets. The company's capital efficiency is evident in its ability to sustain high returns on invested capital, driven by asset-light operations and a franchise-based bottling model. This structure minimizes fixed costs while maximizing scalability, enabling consistent cash flow generation for shareholder returns and strategic acquisitions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Coca-Cola's balance sheet remains solid, with $10.8 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for dividends and share repurchases. However, total debt stands at $44.5 billion, reflecting leverage used for strategic initiatives. The company's strong cash flow profile supports its investment-grade credit rating, ensuring financial flexibility to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties while maintaining its dividend commitments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Coca-Cola has demonstrated steady revenue growth, driven by premiumization and geographic expansion, particularly in emerging markets. The company's dividend policy is a cornerstone of its shareholder value proposition, with a $1.94 annual dividend per share, yielding approximately 3%. Its track record of 60+ consecutive years of dividend increases reinforces its reputation as a reliable income stock, appealing to long-term investors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Coca-Cola trades at a premium valuation, reflecting its defensive qualities, brand strength, and predictable cash flows. Market expectations are anchored in mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin stability, supported by pricing power and cost discipline. The stock's performance is closely tied to global consumer spending trends and inflationary pressures, with investors valuing its resilience in volatile markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Coca-Cola's strategic advantages include its unmatched brand equity, global distribution network, and adaptability to health-conscious trends. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging market growth and digital commerce expansion. Near-term challenges include commodity cost volatility and currency headwinds, but its diversified portfolio and innovation pipeline provide a stable outlook for sustained earnings growth and shareholder returns.

Sources

10-K filing, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount