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Intrinsic ValueLEG Immobilien SE (LEG.SW)

Previous CloseCHF108.45
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF108.45

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

LEG Immobilien SE is a leading German integrated property company specializing in residential and commercial real estate. The firm operates primarily in North Rhine-Westphalia, managing a substantial portfolio of 166,189 residential units, 1,576 commercial units, and 45,438 garages and parking spaces. Its core revenue model is anchored in rental income, supplemented by property management services, location development, and ancillary offerings like IT and energy generation. The company’s vertically integrated approach allows it to control costs while maintaining service quality, reinforcing its competitive position in Germany’s fragmented housing market. LEG Immobilien benefits from stable demand for affordable housing, particularly in urban centers, where its scale and operational expertise provide a defensible market position. The firm’s focus on mid-sized cities with strong demographic trends further mitigates vacancy risks. While regulatory pressures in Germany’s housing sector persist, LEG’s diversified tenant base and long-term leases contribute to resilient cash flows.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

LEG Immobilien reported revenue of €1.30 billion, with net income of €66 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.1%. Operating cash flow stood at €436.5 million, underscoring the company’s ability to convert rental income into liquidity. Capital expenditures were modest at €18.8 million, indicating a focus on maintaining rather than aggressively expanding its portfolio. The firm’s efficiency is supported by its integrated service model, which reduces third-party dependencies.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of €0.88 reflects its earnings power amid a high-interest-rate environment. With a substantial debt load of €9.72 billion, LEG’s capital efficiency is tempered by financing costs, though its stable rental income provides coverage. The firm’s ability to generate consistent operating cash flow (€436.5 million) supports debt servicing and reinvestment needs, albeit with limited near-term growth leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

LEG Immobilien’s balance sheet shows €305.8 million in cash against total debt of €9.72 billion, highlighting a leveraged position common in real estate. The debt-to-equity ratio is elevated, but long-term maturities and fixed-rate borrowings mitigate refinancing risks. The firm’s asset-heavy model provides collateral, though regulatory scrutiny of German real estate leverage remains a monitorable factor.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Organic growth is constrained by Germany’s tight housing supply, but LEG’s focus on operational efficiency and selective redevelopments supports steady income. The dividend of €2.42 per share signals a commitment to shareholder returns, with a payout ratio aligned with recurring cash flows. Portfolio expansion is likely limited to accretive acquisitions given current financing conditions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of €4.98 billion, LEG trades at a price-to-book ratio reflective of sector pressures. The beta of 0.97 suggests market-aligned volatility, with investors pricing in stable cash flows but concerns around leverage and interest rate sensitivity. Valuation hinges on rental yield sustainability and regulatory developments.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

LEG’s scale in North Rhine-Westphalia and integrated operations provide cost advantages, while its focus on affordable housing aligns with demographic needs. Challenges include navigating energy efficiency regulations and debt management. The outlook remains stable, with cash flow resilience offsetting macroeconomic headwinds.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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