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Intrinsic ValueLoungers plc (LGRS.L)

Previous Close£324.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£324.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Loungers plc operates a distinctive portfolio of cafés, bars, and restaurants under its Lounge and Cosy Club brands, primarily serving the casual dining market in England and Wales. The company’s revenue model is driven by a combination of food, beverage, and ancillary sales, with a focus on creating a relaxed, community-oriented atmosphere that differentiates it from traditional high-street competitors. Loungers has strategically expanded its footprint to 168 sites as of April 2021, leveraging its dual-brand approach to cater to diverse customer segments—Lounge for neighborhood cafés and Cosy Club for larger, more premium venues. The company’s market position is strengthened by its localized appeal, operational flexibility, and resilience in the competitive UK hospitality sector. Its emphasis on suburban and secondary locations, rather than saturated city centers, provides a cost-efficient growth strategy while mitigating risks associated with urban oversupply. Loungers’ ability to adapt its offerings to regional preferences further enhances its competitive edge in a fragmented industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Loungers reported revenue of £353.5 million (GBp 35,348.6 million) for the fiscal year ending April 2024, reflecting its scalable operational model. Net income stood at £9.1 million (GBp 912.4 million), with diluted EPS of 8.46p, indicating modest but stable profitability. Operating cash flow of £62.9 million (GBp 6,292 million) underscores efficient working capital management, though capital expenditures of £47.7 million (GBp 4,771.6 million) highlight ongoing investment in site expansion and maintenance.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its asset-light expansion strategy and strong unit economics, as evidenced by its ability to generate positive operating cash flow despite competitive pressures. Capital efficiency is balanced between growth investments and maintaining operational leverage, with a focus on high-return site openings. The absence of dividends suggests reinvestment priorities to sustain expansion and market share gains.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Loungers’ balance sheet shows £10.3 million (GBp 1,034.9 million) in cash and equivalents against total debt of £171 million (GBp 17,101.9 million), indicating moderate leverage. The company’s liquidity position appears manageable given its cash flow generation, though the debt load warrants monitoring amid rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainties in the hospitality sector.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by organic site expansion, with a proven track record of scaling its Lounge and Cosy Club brands. The company has not adopted a dividend policy, opting instead to allocate capital toward growth initiatives. This aligns with its stage of development and the competitive need to consolidate its market position in the UK’s fragmented casual dining space.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of £352.5 million (GBp 35,247.6 million) and a beta of 1.57, Loungers is priced with sensitivity to broader consumer cyclical trends. Investors likely anticipate continued unit growth and margin improvement, though the high beta reflects volatility risks tied to discretionary spending and operational execution in a challenging macroeconomic environment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Loungers’ strategic advantages lie in its differentiated brand positioning, localized appeal, and disciplined expansion strategy. The outlook hinges on its ability to maintain like-for-like sales growth while navigating cost inflation and labor shortages. Long-term success will depend on sustaining its community-centric model and selectively entering new markets without overextending its operational or financial capacity.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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