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Intrinsic ValueLalique Group S.A. (LLQ.SW)

Previous CloseCHF35.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF35.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Lalique Group SA operates in the luxury goods sector, specializing in high-end products such as perfumes, crystal, jewelry, and lifestyle accessories, alongside hospitality services. The company leverages a diversified brand portfolio, including Lalique, Bentley Fragrances, and The Glenturret, to cater to affluent consumers globally. Its revenue model combines direct sales, licensing, and hospitality operations, positioning it as a niche player in the premium segment. The group’s integration of craftsmanship with modern design allows it to maintain exclusivity while expanding into experiential luxury through hotels and restaurants. Despite competition from larger conglomerates, Lalique Group differentiates itself through artisanal heritage and cross-category synergies, particularly in fragrances and crystal. Its market position is reinforced by collaborations with prestigious brands, though its smaller scale limits economies of scale compared to industry leaders.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, Lalique Group reported revenue of CHF 176.8 million, with net income of CHF 2.5 million, reflecting tight margins in the luxury sector. Operating cash flow was negative (CHF -2.9 million), partly due to capital expenditures of CHF -14.3 million, signaling reinvestment in growth. The diluted EPS of CHF 0.34 underscores modest earnings power relative to its market cap.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings are constrained by its niche scale and high operating costs typical of luxury craftsmanship. Capital efficiency is mixed, with significant outlays for brand development and hospitality ventures. The modest net income suggests reliance on premium pricing and cost control to sustain profitability amid inflationary pressures.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Lalique Group holds CHF 27.7 million in cash against total debt of CHF 65.4 million, indicating moderate leverage. The balance sheet reflects liquidity for near-term obligations but limited flexibility for aggressive expansion. Debt levels are manageable given stable cash flows from core luxury segments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by brand extensions and hospitality, though revenue growth remains subdued. The dividend of CHF 0.50 per share implies a payout ratio aligned with earnings, prioritizing shareholder returns despite reinvestment needs. The luxury sector’s resilience supports steady demand, but macroeconomic volatility poses risks.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CHF 267.8 million, the stock trades at a premium to earnings, reflecting brand intangible value. Investors likely anticipate margin improvement from operational scaling and higher-margin product mix. The beta of 0.829 suggests lower volatility than the broader market.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Lalique Group’s artisanal legacy and multi-brand strategy provide defensive advantages in luxury. However, its outlook hinges on executing hospitality synergies and expanding high-margin categories like whisky and fragrances. Macroeconomic headwinds and competition remain key challenges.

Sources

Company filings, SIX Swiss Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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