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Intrinsic ValueMaxar Technologies Inc. (MAXR.TO)

Previous Close$70.54
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$70.54

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Maxar Technologies Inc. operates as a leading provider of earth intelligence and space infrastructure solutions, serving a diverse global clientele. The company’s Earth Intelligence segment delivers high-resolution geospatial data and analytics, leveraging its proprietary satellite constellation to support national security, commercial enterprises, and government agencies. Its Space Infrastructure segment specializes in advanced satellite systems, robotics, and subsystems, catering to defense, exploration, and communication needs. Positioned at the intersection of aerospace and geospatial technology, Maxar combines proprietary imaging capabilities with engineering expertise to maintain a competitive edge in a niche but growing market. The company’s dual-segment approach allows it to address both immediate intelligence demands and long-term infrastructure development, reinforcing its role as a critical player in defense and commercial space applications. With a focus on innovation and scalability, Maxar is well-positioned to capitalize on increasing demand for real-time earth observation and next-generation space systems.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Maxar reported FY 2022 revenue of CAD 1.61 billion, reflecting its broad service offerings across government and commercial sectors. However, the company posted a net loss of CAD 150 million, with diluted EPS of -CAD 2.05, indicating profitability challenges. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 325 million, partially offset by significant capital expenditures of CAD 319 million, highlighting heavy investment in infrastructure and technology.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Despite its net loss, Maxar generated positive operating cash flow, suggesting underlying operational efficiency. The company’s capital-intensive model, evidenced by high capex, underscores its focus on expanding satellite and geospatial capabilities. Earnings power remains constrained by debt servicing costs and reinvestment needs, though its diversified revenue streams provide stability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Maxar’s balance sheet shows CAD 52 million in cash against total debt of CAD 2.36 billion, indicating leveraged positioning. The high debt load may pressure liquidity, though operating cash flow provides some coverage. Investors should monitor debt management and capex discipline to assess long-term financial health.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by demand for geospatial intelligence and space infrastructure, though profitability remains elusive. The company offers a modest dividend of CAD 0.05 per share, signaling limited shareholder returns amid reinvestment priorities. Future trends hinge on contract wins and scalability of its satellite networks.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 5.35 billion and a beta of 0.87, Maxar trades with moderate volatility relative to the market. Valuation reflects expectations for growth in defense and space sectors, though profitability concerns may temper upside potential.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Maxar’s proprietary satellite technology and government contracts provide strategic moats. The outlook depends on execution in scaling high-margin services and managing debt. Opportunities in commercial space and earth observation could drive long-term value if operational efficiencies improve.

Sources

Company filings, market data

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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