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Intrinsic ValueLVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne (MC.SW)

Previous CloseCHF410.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF410.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton is the world's leading luxury goods conglomerate, operating across six key segments: Wines & Spirits, Fashion & Leather Goods, Perfumes & Cosmetics, Watches & Jewelry, Selective Retailing, and Other Activities. The company's diversified portfolio includes iconic brands such as Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Moët & Chandon, Hennessy, Bulgari, Sephora, and Tiffany & Co., among others. LVMH's revenue model is built on premium pricing, brand exclusivity, and global distribution through 5,556 stores, catering to high-net-worth individuals and aspirational consumers. The company maintains a dominant position in the luxury sector, leveraging its heritage, craftsmanship, and innovation to sustain pricing power. Its vertical integration strategy ensures control over production, distribution, and retail, while selective acquisitions (e.g., Tiffany & Co.) reinforce its market leadership. LVMH benefits from geographic diversification, with strong exposure to Asia, Europe, and North America, though it remains vulnerable to macroeconomic shifts affecting discretionary spending. The company's ability to nurture brand equity and adapt to digital commerce trends solidifies its competitive moat in the high-end consumer market.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY2023, LVMH reported revenue of CHF 86.2 billion, with net income of CHF 15.2 billion, reflecting a robust net margin of 17.6%. Operating cash flow stood at CHF 18.4 billion, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures totaled CHF 7.8 billion, indicating continued investment in retail expansion and brand development. The company's scale and pricing power contribute to its high profitability metrics, though margins vary across segments, with Fashion & Leather Goods being the most lucrative.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

LVMH's diluted EPS of CHF 30.33 demonstrates its earnings strength, supported by high return on invested capital (ROIC) across its portfolio. The company's capital allocation prioritizes organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and shareholder returns, with a dividend per share of CHF 12.48. Its asset-light retail model and premium branding ensure capital efficiency, though the luxury sector's cyclicality requires disciplined inventory and cost management.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

LVMH maintains a solid balance sheet with CHF 7.8 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of CHF 38.5 billion. The company's leverage is manageable given its cash flow stability, and it retains ample liquidity for M&A and operational flexibility. Its credit profile is investment-grade, supported by consistent profitability and a diversified revenue base.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

LVMH has delivered consistent revenue and earnings growth, driven by brand strength and global luxury demand. The company adopts a progressive dividend policy, with a payout ratio aligned to earnings sustainability. Future growth will hinge on Asia's recovery, digital transformation, and selective acquisitions, though geopolitical and economic volatility pose risks.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CHF 204.2 billion and a beta of 0.99, LVMH trades at a premium reflective of its sector leadership and growth prospects. Investors price in resilience to economic downturns, given the loyalty of its high-end clientele, though valuation multiples remain sensitive to consumer sentiment shifts.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

LVMH's strategic advantages include unmatched brand equity, geographic diversification, and operational excellence. The outlook remains positive, supported by luxury sector tailwinds, though inflation and supply chain pressures require vigilance. The company's focus on sustainability and digital engagement will be critical to long-term value creation.

Sources

Company annual reports, investor presentations, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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