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Intrinsic ValueAmatheon Agri Holding N.V. (MLAAH.PA)

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Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
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VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Amatheon Agri Holding N.V. operates as an agri-business and food company with a diversified presence across Europe and Africa. The company’s core activities span farming, food processing, and trading, focusing on staple crops like maize, soya beans, wheat, rice, and millet, alongside cattle ranching and meat processing. Its revenue model integrates vertical operations from production to retail, targeting both commercial and smallholder markets. Amatheon also engages in equipment distribution and organic farming, positioning itself as a mid-tier player in the agricultural value chain. The company’s dual-segment approach—Farming and Food—allows it to capture margins across production and processing, though its scale remains modest compared to global agribusiness leaders. Its African operations provide exposure to emerging agricultural markets, but execution risks and logistical challenges persist. The firm’s ancillary activities, including charitable initiatives and equipment sales, add niche diversification but contribute minimally to overall profitability.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, Amatheon reported revenue of €6.7 million, overshadowed by a net loss of €11.9 million, reflecting operational inefficiencies and potential cost overruns. Negative operating cash flow of €5.2 million and modest capital expenditures (€0.4 million) suggest constrained liquidity for growth initiatives. The diluted EPS of -€0.0199 underscores persistent profitability challenges, likely tied to high fixed costs and volatile commodity pricing.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power remains weak, with negative net income and operating cash flow indicating subscale operations and limited pricing leverage. Capital efficiency is further strained by elevated total debt (€24.2 million) relative to cash reserves (€0.6 million), raising concerns about interest coverage and reinvestment capacity in a capital-intensive sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Amatheon’s balance sheet reflects financial stress, with total debt significantly exceeding cash holdings. The €24.2 million debt burden against €0.6 million in cash reserves highlights liquidity risks, while negative equity (implied by sustained losses) may limit access to financing. Asset turnover and working capital metrics are unavailable but likely pressured given the operating cash burn.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects appear muted, with no dividend payouts and reinvestment constrained by negative cash flow. The company’s focus on African markets offers long-term potential but requires substantial capital, which current financials cannot support. Absence of a dividend policy aligns with its loss-making status and capital preservation priorities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market cap of €22.7 million reflects skepticism about turnaround potential, trading at ~3.4x revenue amid sustained losses. A negative beta (-0.11) suggests low correlation with broader markets, possibly due to illiquidity or idiosyncratic risks. Investors likely price in execution challenges and sector headwinds.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Amatheon’s vertically integrated model and African footprint provide niche exposure, but operational scale and financial health remain critical hurdles. Strategic pivots toward higher-margin processing or partnerships could improve viability, though near-term outlook is cautious given debt levels and cash burn. Success hinges on commodity price recovery and cost discipline.

Sources

Company description, financials from EURONEXT disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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