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Intrinsic Value of MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN)

Previous Close$20.74
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$20.74

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

MillerKnoll, Inc. operates as a leading global design firm specializing in office furniture, seating, and architectural products, serving commercial, residential, and institutional markets. The company generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of brands, including Herman Miller and Knoll, which are recognized for their innovation and premium positioning in ergonomic and sustainable design. Its business model combines direct sales, dealer networks, and e-commerce, leveraging a strong supply chain to serve multinational clients and niche segments alike. MillerKnoll competes in a fragmented industry but maintains a competitive edge through design leadership, brand equity, and vertical integration. The company targets high-margin contract furniture markets while expanding into hybrid work solutions, reflecting evolving workplace trends. Its market position is reinforced by long-term client relationships and a reputation for quality, though it faces pricing pressure from lower-cost competitors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

MillerKnoll reported revenue of $3.63 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $82.3 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.3%. Operating cash flow stood at $352.3 million, indicating solid cash generation despite capital expenditures of $78.4 million. The company’s efficiency metrics suggest moderate operational leverage, with room for improvement in cost management amid inflationary pressures and supply chain normalization.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of $1.11 underscores the company’s earnings power, though it remains sensitive to macroeconomic conditions affecting corporate spending. Free cash flow, calculated at $274 million after capex, demonstrates capital efficiency, supporting debt servicing and shareholder returns. The firm’s ability to maintain profitability in a cyclical industry highlights its resilient business model and pricing discipline.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

MillerKnoll’s balance sheet shows $230.4 million in cash against total debt of $1.76 billion, indicating a leveraged but manageable position. The debt load reflects past acquisitions, including Knoll, but is mitigated by steady cash flow generation. Liquidity appears adequate, though refinancing risks may arise if interest rates remain elevated. The company’s financial health hinges on sustained demand in its core markets.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are tied to workplace evolution, with demand for hybrid office solutions offsetting softer corporate spending. The dividend of $0.75 per share signals a commitment to returning capital, yielding approximately 3.5% at current prices. Payout sustainability depends on earnings stability, as the dividend consumes a significant portion of net income.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E of around 14x based on FY 2024 EPS, MillerKnoll’s valuation reflects muted growth expectations amid economic uncertainty. Market sentiment appears balanced, pricing in cyclical risks but acknowledging the company’s brand strength and long-term contract visibility.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

MillerKnoll’s strategic advantages include its design-centric brand portfolio and global distribution network. The outlook remains cautious, with near-term headwinds from economic softness, but the company is well-positioned to benefit from workplace reconfigurations and sustainability trends. Execution on cost synergies and innovation will be critical to margin recovery.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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