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Intrinsic Value of NeoGenomics, Inc. (NEO)

Previous Close$9.62
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$9.62

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $Initial revenue growth rate, %Variable cost ratio, %Fixed operating exp., mln $Prod. assets / Revenue, %Working capital / Revenue, %Interest rate on debt, %Initial discount rate, %Shares outstanding, mlnAdjusted equity ratioAdjusted assets / RevenueCash & ST InvestmentsTotal debt

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of 2024-12-31.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %11.611.311.010.710.410.19.99.69.49.29.08.88.68.48.28.17.97.87.67.57.47.27.17.06.9
Revenue, $7378209101007111212241345147416121760191720852264245426552869309633363590385941444444476150965449
Variable operating expenses, $m663738819906100011021210132614511584172518772037220823902582278630033231347337294000428545864904
Fixed operating expenses, $m172186202219238258280304330358388421457496538583633687745809877952103311211216
Total operating expenses, $m83592410211125123813601490163017811942211322982494270429283165341936903976428246064952531857076120
Operating income, $m-98-104-111-118-127-136-146-156-168-182-196-212-230-250-272-297-323-353-386-423-463-507-557-611-671
EBITDA, $m-26-23-21-19-16-14-12-9-7-5-4-3-2-2-4-6-9-14-21-30-40-54-70-90-113
Interest expense (income), $m2468727680859196102109116123131140149158168179190202215228242257273
Earnings before tax, $m-122-172-183-194-207-221-236-253-271-291-312-336-362-390-421-455-491-532-576-625-678-735-799-868-944
Tax expense, $m0000000000000000000000000
Net income, $m-122-172-183-194-207-221-236-253-271-291-312-336-362-390-421-455-491-532-576-625-678-735-799-868-944

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m0000000000000000000000000
Total assets, $m14451608178419742179239926352889316034493758408744374809520456236068653970377564812187109332998710679
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m14451608178419742179239926352889316034493758408744374809520456236068653970377564812187109332998710679
Average production assets, $m7838719671070118113001428156517121869203622142404260628203047328835433813409944014719505654125786
Working capital, $m3842465157626975829098106115125135146158170183197211227243260278
Total debt, $m1694179218982012213522672409256127232897308232793489371339504202446847515050536657006054642668207235
Total liabilities, $m86796510701184130714391581173318962069225524522662288531223374364139234222453948735226559959926408
Total equity, $m5786437147908729601054115512641380150316351775192420822249242726162815302632493484373339954272
Debt-to-equity ratio1.0472.6352.5122.4032.3082.2252.1502.0852.0261.9741.9271.8851.8481.8141.7841.7561.7311.7081.6881.6691.6521.6361.6221.6091.597
Adjusted equity ratio0.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.4000.400

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-122-172-183-194-207-221-236-253-271-291-312-336-362-390-421-455-491-532-576-625-678-735-799-868-944
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m728190100110122134147161176193210228248269291314339365393423454487521558
Funds from operations, $m-50-91-93-95-97-99-102-106-109-114-119-126-133-142-152-164-177-193-211-232-255-282-312-347-386
Change in working capital, $m4455566778899101011121213141415161718
Cash from operations, $m-54-95-97-100-102-105-108-112-117-122-128-134-142-152-162-175-189-205-224-245-270-297-328-364-404
Maintenance CAPEX, $m-72-81-90-100-110-122-134-147-161-176-193-210-228-248-269-291-314-339-365-393-423-454-487-521-558
New CAPEX, $m-81-88-95-103-111-119-128-137-147-157-167-178-190-202-214-227-241-255-270-286-302-319-337-355-375
Total CAPEX, $m-154-169-185-203-221-241-262-284-308-333-360-388-418-449-483-518-555-594-635-679-724-773-823-877-933
Free cash flow, $m-207-264-283-302-323-346-370-397-425-455-487-523-560-601-645-693-744-799-859-924-994-1070-1152-1240-1337
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m03303533784054344654985335716116547007508038609229881059113512171305140015031613
Retained Cash Flow, $m-155-65-70-76-82-88-95-101-108-116-123-132-140-149-158-168-178-188-199-211-223-235-249-262-277
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m479
Cash available for distribution, $m117000000000000000000000000
Discount rate, %4.905.155.405.675.966.256.576.897.247.607.988.388.809.249.7010.1910.7011.2311.7912.3813.0013.6514.3315.0515.80
PV of cash for distribution, $m112000000000000000000000000
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %1007050362619141086433221111000000